{ "ticker": { "uuid": "61ff9c2f-9a84-4959-baa8-a741e8069351", "symbol": "CVNY", "name": "YIELDMAX CVNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Neutral compression", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.771, "architecture_energy": 21.28, "architecture_maturity": 14.752, "architecture_confidence": 59.199, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.97, "rotation_up": 23.13, "upward_expansion": 15.33, "deceleration": 60.8, "rotation_down": 37.21, "downward_expansion": 60.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.047278, 19.999193, 20.806389, 21.1224 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 21.4875, "trend_reference": 21.941045, "distance_from_trend": -0.020671, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.974644, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.024451, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.544217, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.134815, "excess_performance": -0.26044, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.020671, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067289, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.024451, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.142293, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.155442, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.116774, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.134815, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.838094, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 98146, "relative_activity": 0.706268, "balance": 0.838094, "dry_up": 0.633838, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.114287, "annualized_volatility": 0.479792, "from_high_reference": -0.281563, "from_low_reference": 0.213419 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.941045, "fair_value_reference": 20.974644, "structural_low": 17.70823, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.496296, "volume": 69524, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.167483, "volume": 109718, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.4875, "volume": 98146, "typical_volume": 138964.15, "trend": 21.941045, "fair_value": 20.974644, "relative_strength": -15.544217, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.770603, "energy": 21.279912, "activity_lines": [ 20.047278, 19.999193, 20.806389, 21.1224 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }