{ "ticker": { "uuid": "61fff0a0-3ce5-4f56-880d-8ad5e2e5a842", "symbol": "RPM", "name": "RPM International Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 72.202, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 42.857, "architecture_energy": 28.665, "architecture_maturity": 14.383, "architecture_confidence": 50.825, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.76, "rotation_up": 46.84, "upward_expansion": 44.17, "deceleration": 40.82, "rotation_down": 27.62, "downward_expansion": 11.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 110.052589, 109.072276, 106.918743, 106.070829 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 117.36, "trend_reference": 106.22857, "distance_from_trend": 0.104788, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 109.536541, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.071423, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.002017, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.008721, "excess_performance": -0.116904, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.104788, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008933, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.071423, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.135992, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.04002, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.147951, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.008721, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.833104, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4666182, "relative_activity": 1.03553, "balance": 2.833104, "dry_up": 1.197978, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058362, "annualized_volatility": 0.343265, "from_high_reference": -0.077559, "from_low_reference": 0.269478 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 106.22857, "fair_value_reference": 109.536541, 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105.220509 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 105.08, "volume": 4525532, "typical_volume": 4410034.8, "trend": 105.773261, "fair_value": 109.311831, "relative_strength": -11.946237, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 13.201426, "energy": 15.461752, "activity_lines": [ 107.191554, 106.817144, 104.974804, 105.177915 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 107.0, "volume": 6883586, "typical_volume": 4501338.45, "trend": 105.835984, "fair_value": 109.359201, "relative_strength": -9.295618, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.377158, "energy": 7.515729, "activity_lines": [ 106.8604, 107.116673, 105.321158, 105.257059 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 107.07, "volume": 5517428, "typical_volume": 4535769.05, "trend": 105.980578, "fair_value": 109.41849, "relative_strength": -9.731442, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 4.292037, "energy": 6.124669, "activity_lines": [ 106.581486, 107.215111, 105.648563, 105.336673 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 117.36, "volume": 4666182, "typical_volume": 4506079.5, "trend": 106.22857, "fair_value": 109.536541, "relative_strength": -4.002017, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.857435, "energy": 28.66544, "activity_lines": [ 110.052589, 109.072276, 106.918743, 106.070829 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }