{ "ticker": { "uuid": "62117479-b7e8-4093-b1e0-7191ba887963", "symbol": "300595", "name": "Autek China Inc.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.783, "architecture_energy": 43.273, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.423, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.85, "rotation_up": 27.62, "upward_expansion": 19.76, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 38.07, "downward_expansion": 67.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.146, 11.034727, 11.637366, 12.380721 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 11.38, "trend_reference": 13.42735, "distance_from_trend": -0.152476, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.219413, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.339118, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.065851, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.27246, "excess_performance": -0.27986, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.152476, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100051, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.339118, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.089578, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.260659, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020443, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.27246, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.392665, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 49150689, "relative_activity": 1.277817, "balance": 0.392665, "dry_up": 1.546005, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069661, "annualized_volatility": 0.274521, "from_high_reference": -0.422707, "from_low_reference": 0.105928 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.42735, "fair_value_reference": 17.219413, "structural_low": 10.29, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.015576, "positive_rate": 0.439024, "directional_follow_through": 0.560976, "median_excess_return": -0.007418, "regime_survival": 0.878049, "best_return": 0.402376, "worst_return": -0.213, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.063629, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.043646, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.296652, "worst_return": -0.351147, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.13571, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.16512, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.120228, "worst_return": -0.442331, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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13.646428, "fair_value": 17.465896, "relative_strength": -30.664588, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.438405, "energy": 65.294406, "activity_lines": [ 10.766, 10.94, 11.859131, 12.660025 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.47, "volume": 57526103, "typical_volume": 38279828.5, "trend": 13.532779, "fair_value": 17.343128, "relative_strength": -22.602867, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.48998, "energy": 53.159417, "activity_lines": [ 11.008, 10.986545, 11.742955, 12.51961 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.38, "volume": 49150689, "typical_volume": 38464582.15, "trend": 13.42735, "fair_value": 17.219413, "relative_strength": -26.065851, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.782934, "energy": 43.27308, "activity_lines": [ 11.146, 11.034727, 11.637366, 12.380721 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }