{ "ticker": { "uuid": "621736cf-2373-4f84-9d07-e243de00530f", "symbol": "SCR", "name": "Strathcona Resources Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 77.784, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 14.044, "architecture_energy": 9.977, "architecture_maturity": 25.993, "architecture_confidence": 64.969, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.61, "rotation_up": 32.03, "upward_expansion": 55.29, "deceleration": 64.63, "rotation_down": 26.56, "downward_expansion": 23.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.464666, 40.248909, 41.377894, 40.444028 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 38.66, "trend_reference": 37.877304, "distance_from_trend": 0.020664, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.922124, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.551232, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.428764, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.402207, "excess_performance": 0.281786, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.020664, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.110982, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.551232, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.224615, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.024288, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.265463, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.402207, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.673135, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1983800, "relative_activity": 1.027468, "balance": 1.673135, "dry_up": 1.229202, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098159, "annualized_volatility": 0.56963, "from_high_reference": -0.247489, "from_low_reference": 0.584949 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.877304, "fair_value_reference": 24.922124, "structural_low": 27.233375, "invalidation": "A 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39.5, "volume": 2527800, "typical_volume": 2013870.0, "trend": 36.568425, "fair_value": 24.62855, "relative_strength": 9.580647, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.943209, "energy": 21.170235, "activity_lines": [ 38.818667, 40.791351, 41.456642, 39.663156 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41.959999, "volume": 2219600, "typical_volume": 2018515.0, "trend": 37.002741, "fair_value": 24.732045, "relative_strength": 15.403605, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.790194, "energy": 15.309989, "activity_lines": [ 39.804, 40.673558, 41.548473, 40.011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.52, "volume": 2762000, "typical_volume": 2039380.0, "trend": 37.465319, "fair_value": 24.838475, "relative_strength": 16.722809, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.699693, "energy": 14.658819, "activity_lines": [ 40.912666, 40.770762, 41.654987, 40.366952 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.66, "volume": 1983800, "typical_volume": 1930765.0, "trend": 37.877304, "fair_value": 24.922124, "relative_strength": 2.428764, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.043697, "energy": 9.977226, "activity_lines": [ 40.464666, 40.248909, 41.377894, 40.444028 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }