{ "ticker": { "uuid": "622026d9-1db8-404f-a330-0847bd2041fe", "symbol": "7801", "name": "ASUSTOR", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -44.042, "architecture_energy": 70.228, "architecture_maturity": 17.23, "architecture_confidence": 73.724, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.89, "rotation_up": 16.72, "upward_expansion": 24.46, "deceleration": 43.04, "rotation_down": 76.46, "downward_expansion": 68.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 102.733333, 108.735005, 119.024111, 119.727117 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 101.0, "trend_reference": 117.492721, "distance_from_trend": -0.140372, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 116.509471, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.133118, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.670762, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.032853, "excess_performance": -0.408519, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.140372, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035061, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.133118, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.279515, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.366708, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141442, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.032853, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.338959, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 106335, "relative_activity": 0.220462, "balance": 0.338959, "dry_up": 0.310646, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106679, "annualized_volatility": 0.600613, "from_high_reference": -0.511005, "from_low_reference": 0.069368 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 117.492721, "fair_value_reference": 116.509471, "structural_low": 95.879311, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"typical_volume": 520559.5, "trend": 117.677204, "fair_value": 117.045958, "relative_strength": -33.096947, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.637471, "energy": 48.397626, "activity_lines": [ 112.833333, 118.88558, 125.737248, 122.830689 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 103.5, "volume": 160418, "typical_volume": 522012.5, "trend": 117.772223, "fair_value": 116.884696, "relative_strength": -33.149492, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.763145, "energy": 59.83045, "activity_lines": [ 108.666667, 115.154964, 123.65115, 121.916031 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 100.5, "volume": 219650, "typical_volume": 498711.3, "trend": 117.655939, "fair_value": 116.691935, "relative_strength": -35.705875, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.888858, "energy": 64.236111, "activity_lines": [ 104.8, 111.590282, 121.272579, 120.801694 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 101.0, "volume": 106335, "typical_volume": 482328.3, "trend": 117.492721, "fair_value": 116.509471, "relative_strength": -36.670762, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.041558, "energy": 70.227898, "activity_lines": [ 102.733333, 108.735005, 119.024111, 119.727117 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }