{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6232b345-8884-4384-af28-b9576454c7b5",
    "symbol": "PES",
    "name": "Pearson plc",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.249,
    "architecture_energy": 66.172,
    "architecture_maturity": 72.656,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.729,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.51,
        "rotation_up": 62.78,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 68.5,
        "rotation_down": 22.18,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.634,
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        13.748976,
        13.142755
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 14.3,
    "trend_reference": 12.348803,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.158007,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.119072,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.179958,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 9.049907,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.398047,
    "excess_performance": 0.333408,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.158007,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074874,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.179958,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103054,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090499,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040202,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.398047,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.56246,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1002,
      "relative_activity": 0.617546,
      "balance": 3.56246,
      "dry_up": 0.646359,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.03631,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.218428,
      "from_high_reference": -0.057971,
      "from_low_reference": 0.413702
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.348803,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.119072,
      "structural_low": 10.115283,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.014354,
        "positive_rate": 0.592593,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.592593,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001154,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.132624,
        "worst_return": -0.091711,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "close": 12.37,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3164.7,
        "trend": 11.400783,
        "fair_value": 11.680833,
        "relative_strength": 3.207414,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 48.186214,
        "energy": 70.09067,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.918333,
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          11.277072,
          11.288745
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 12.54,
        "volume": 827,
        "typical_volume": 3206.05,
        "trend": 11.418899,
        "fair_value": 11.704155,
        "relative_strength": 4.223695,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 57.479853,
        "energy": 80.576007,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.195667,
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          11.400359,
          11.362243
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 4961,
        "typical_volume": 2891.6,
        "trend": 11.437061,
        "fair_value": 11.728066,
        "relative_strength": 5.029661,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.361902,
        "energy": 92.980884,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.403333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 501,
        "typical_volume": 2916.65,
        "trend": 11.442885,
        "fair_value": 11.750907,
        "relative_strength": 6.605334,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.810997,
        "energy": 89.4635,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.524667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 14992,
        "typical_volume": 3647.75,
        "trend": 11.456368,
        "fair_value": 11.779204,
        "relative_strength": 7.319683,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.867611,
        "energy": 94.396134,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.750667,
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          11.807098,
          11.622318
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 12.87,
        "volume": 231,
        "typical_volume": 3657.75,
        "trend": 11.488604,
        "fair_value": 11.805644,
        "relative_strength": 4.614809,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.926598,
        "energy": 87.547189,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 12.89,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3572.95,
        "trend": 11.547935,
        "fair_value": 11.830339,
        "relative_strength": 6.275692,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.59919,
        "energy": 86.466528,
        "activity_lines": [
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          11.803932
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 13.32,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2745.55,
        "trend": 11.616839,
        "fair_value": 11.856933,
        "relative_strength": 10.310235,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.055497,
        "energy": 89.714877,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2503.1,
        "trend": 11.677225,
        "fair_value": 11.883468,
        "relative_strength": 6.44522,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.473221,
        "energy": 75.600616,
        "activity_lines": [
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          12.009431
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 13.64,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 2039.35,
        "trend": 11.757781,
        "fair_value": 11.91279,
        "relative_strength": 12.692464,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.06673,
        "energy": 76.36775,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.262,
          13.071636,
          12.53648,
          12.136061
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 14.28,
        "volume": 573,
        "typical_volume": 1972.6,
        "trend": 11.860326,
        "fair_value": 11.946468,
        "relative_strength": 12.759214,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.996304,
        "energy": 85.987912,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.638667,
          13.322727,
          12.753962,
          12.298785
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 14.89,
        "volume": 800,
        "typical_volume": 2012.45,
        "trend": 11.985996,
        "fair_value": 11.982631,
        "relative_strength": 20.452188,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 95.375566,
        "energy": 96.420849,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.124667,
          13.65,
          13.011161,
          12.494248
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 14.77,
        "volume": 2176,
        "typical_volume": 1690.45,
        "trend": 12.081728,
        "fair_value": 12.016936,
        "relative_strength": 20.137729,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.228644,
        "energy": 94.342637,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.437333,
          13.912727,
          13.236071,
          12.673861
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.38,
        "volume": 757,
        "typical_volume": 1697.25,
        "trend": 12.166103,
        "fair_value": 12.047908,
        "relative_strength": 15.355894,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.194204,
        "energy": 87.861936,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.523333,
          14.065636,
          13.402845,
          12.822137
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.11,
        "volume": 260,
        "typical_volume": 1649.9,
        "trend": 12.274318,
        "fair_value": 12.08623,
        "relative_strength": 18.510351,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.353144,
        "energy": 86.382679,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.762667,
          14.318545,
          13.623595,
          13.012066
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.3,
        "volume": 1002,
        "typical_volume": 1622.55,
        "trend": 12.348803,
        "fair_value": 12.119072,
        "relative_strength": 9.049907,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.248631,
        "energy": 66.171772,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.634,
          14.388,
          13.748976,
          13.142755
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}