{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "62392bd1-8921-4120-a935-b80f1ed83297",
    "symbol": "TMO",
    "name": "Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 64.144,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 54.966,
    "architecture_energy": 76.132,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.944,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.881,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.81,
        "rotation_up": 80.22,
        "upward_expansion": 69.14,
        "deceleration": 18.08,
        "rotation_down": 16.36,
        "downward_expansion": 25.14
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        570.932667,
        545.775836,
        515.770885,
        508.089254
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 594.0,
    "trend_reference": 511.273726,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.161804,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 522.986959,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.135784,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.736389,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.09646,
    "excess_performance": -0.029165,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.161804,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036544,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135784,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.250218,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007364,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.183523,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09646,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.268171,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9009965,
      "relative_activity": 0.841648,
      "balance": 2.268171,
      "dry_up": 1.071403,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.061611,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.352028,
      "from_high_reference": -0.075776,
      "from_low_reference": 0.366024
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 511.273726,
      "fair_value_reference": 522.986959,
      "structural_low": 434.838576,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.004395,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009117,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.123733,
        "worst_return": -0.069575,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.031839,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025813,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.176048,
        "worst_return": -0.293993,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.011772,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.079954,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.174652,
        "worst_return": -0.192273,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.026466,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.183388,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.07262,
        "worst_return": -0.096386,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.072776,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.069743,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.129453,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.068105,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005199,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.082788,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.056086,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.087647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.035128,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012103,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": -0.090712,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "return": 0.044925,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 10837478.25,
        "trend": 512.628584,
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        "relative_strength": 0.996978,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 574.3,
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        "typical_volume": 10871632.55,
        "trend": 512.06111,
        "fair_value": 522.631659,
        "relative_strength": 0.916521,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 52.218628,
        "energy": 71.626886,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 594.0,
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        "typical_volume": 10705145.1,
        "trend": 511.273726,
        "fair_value": 522.986959,
        "relative_strength": 0.736389,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}