{ "ticker": { "uuid": "625247f5-6acf-4424-91b5-b524ab50e204", "symbol": "688558", "name": "Nantong Guosheng Intelligence Technology Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 68.057, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -20.772, "architecture_energy": 49.338, "architecture_maturity": 6.128, "architecture_confidence": 65.469, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.82, "rotation_up": 17.57, "upward_expansion": 27.32, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 62.13, "downward_expansion": 49.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.802, 30.281818, 32.402411, 32.394529 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 31.469999, "trend_reference": 32.32995, "distance_from_trend": -0.026599, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.015224, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.258034, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.19101, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.005234, "excess_performance": 0.03797, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.026599, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030765, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.258034, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.42891, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.02191, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.306947, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.005234, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.689743, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8955302, "relative_activity": 0.877156, "balance": 0.689743, "dry_up": 0.999781, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.142305, "annualized_volatility": 0.69582, "from_high_reference": -0.301653, "from_low_reference": 0.319497 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.32995, "fair_value_reference": 25.015224, "structural_low": 23.85, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.148256, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.191833, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.427807, "worst_return": -0.123668, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.092055, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.097768, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.25744, "worst_return": -0.293654, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.081817, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.006811, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.389746, "worst_return": -0.207466, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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-6.72856, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.265609, "energy": 20.962934, "activity_lines": [ 31.978, 32.975272, 33.778056, 33.218038 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.940001, "volume": 9470792, "typical_volume": 9908173.1, "trend": 32.247318, "fair_value": 25.02549, "relative_strength": -16.223742, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.127477, "energy": 37.554578, "activity_lines": [ 29.410667, 31.225905, 33.003664, 32.741804 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.620001, "volume": 10103520, "typical_volume": 10055029.5, "trend": 32.225447, "fair_value": 25.002522, "relative_strength": -7.640307, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.437567, "energy": 49.451615, "activity_lines": [ 28.359334, 30.289091, 32.512195, 32.443267 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.469999, "volume": 8955302, "typical_volume": 10209479.25, "trend": 32.32995, "fair_value": 25.015224, "relative_strength": 2.19101, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.772394, "energy": 49.33819, "activity_lines": [ 28.802, 30.281818, 32.402411, 32.394529 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }