{ "ticker": { "uuid": "626272eb-2971-4c80-85e9-1d5b368ae986", "symbol": "688371", "name": "Jiangsu Favored Nanotechnology Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -13.37, "architecture_energy": 26.057, "architecture_maturity": 64.558, "architecture_confidence": 52.656, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.76, "rotation_up": 19.55, "upward_expansion": 19.81, "deceleration": 67.14, "rotation_down": 59.9, "downward_expansion": 40.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.084667, 31.067084, 32.339657, 30.141612 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 28.58, "trend_reference": 27.203372, "distance_from_trend": 0.050605, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.121161, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.577162, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 15.181279, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.411358, "excess_performance": 0.454562, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.050605, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.202339, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.577162, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.304754, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.151813, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.283903, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.411358, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.874524, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52308539, "relative_activity": 1.17697, "balance": 0.874524, "dry_up": 1.516133, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.318913, "annualized_volatility": 1.073007, "from_high_reference": -0.414344, "from_low_reference": 0.658735 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.203372, "fair_value_reference": 18.121161, "structural_low": 17.799999, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.005586, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.030009, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.066195, "worst_return": -0.145055, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.069205, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.089353, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.02852, "worst_return": -0.10989, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.140969, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.113715, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.392454, "worst_return": -0.110517, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.643785, "energy": 49.404783, "activity_lines": [ 37.427973, 37.304896, 32.250447, 29.090442 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 45.049999, "volume": 60042399, "typical_volume": 32738670.55, "trend": 26.287039, "fair_value": 18.00052, "relative_strength": 83.608557, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.621322, "energy": 53.924874, "activity_lines": [ 39.855999, 38.950269, 33.853394, 30.357342 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.34, "volume": 68533557, "typical_volume": 35846342.15, "trend": 26.573372, "fair_value": 18.037123, "relative_strength": 17.287166, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.113928, "energy": 22.294395, "activity_lines": [ 35.932666, 37.005415, 33.655197, 30.425275 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.280001, "volume": 70011888, "typical_volume": 38842311.2, "trend": 26.767039, "fair_value": 18.066546, "relative_strength": 6.339718, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.927365, "energy": 12.452027, "activity_lines": [ 32.143333, 34.764895, 33.235097, 30.341832 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.950001, "volume": 78674215, "typical_volume": 42236710.55, "trend": 26.866372, "fair_value": 18.07161, "relative_strength": -8.392772, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -5.963578, "energy": 17.091972, "activity_lines": [ 28.092, 32.132399, 32.475044, 30.031056 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.58, "volume": 52308539, "typical_volume": 44443375.8, "trend": 27.203372, "fair_value": 18.121161, "relative_strength": 15.181279, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.369668, "energy": 26.056941, "activity_lines": [ 27.084667, 31.067084, 32.339657, 30.141612 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }