{ "ticker": { "uuid": "626e4b31-51cd-48b1-aed5-af70cb36b446", "symbol": "RAT", "name": "Rathbones Group Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.967, "architecture_energy": 43.795, "architecture_maturity": 69.171, "architecture_confidence": 66.292, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.05, "rotation_up": 26.09, "upward_expansion": 18.74, "deceleration": 66.73, "rotation_down": 46.59, "downward_expansion": 71.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 1689.6, 1686.290909, 1780.547897, 1858.768691 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1720.0, "trend_reference": 1959.403516, "distance_from_trend": -0.122182, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1757.482693, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.021327, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.136293, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.219704, "excess_performance": -0.285982, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.122182, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019615, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.021327, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.138608, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.171363, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.148765, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.219704, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.702374, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 614841, "relative_activity": 1.302723, "balance": 0.702374, "dry_up": 1.557642, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066413, "annualized_volatility": 0.343478, "from_high_reference": -0.311779, "from_low_reference": 0.087231 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1959.403516, "fair_value_reference": 1757.482693, 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472831.3, "trend": 1965.84967, "fair_value": 1757.428381, "relative_strength": -19.833332, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.016621, "energy": 54.973609, "activity_lines": [ 1673.733333, 1690.0, 1795.444982, 1874.62996 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1720.0, "volume": 614841, "typical_volume": 471966.1, "trend": 1959.403516, "fair_value": 1757.482693, "relative_strength": -17.136293, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.967234, "energy": 43.794891, "activity_lines": [ 1689.6, 1686.290909, 1780.547897, 1858.768691 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }