{ "ticker": { "uuid": "628c5122-8340-4d08-851d-87d8273043d0", "symbol": "BJV", "name": "Yamada Green Resources Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.086, "architecture_energy": 28.367, "architecture_maturity": 52.959, "architecture_confidence": 91.314, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.44, "rotation_up": 28.06, "upward_expansion": 23.52, "deceleration": 39.52, "rotation_down": 24.34, "downward_expansion": 59.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.0908, 0.089164, 0.092038, 0.09577 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.09, "trend_reference": 0.098767, "distance_from_trend": -0.088761, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.113028, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.203739, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.578303, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.1, "excess_performance": -0.254835, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.088761, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040168, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.203739, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104751, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.245783, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15195, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.1, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.373016, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.373016, "dry_up": 0.78341, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047009, "annualized_volatility": 0.558075, "from_high_reference": -0.268293, "from_low_reference": 0.097561 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.098767, "fair_value_reference": 0.113028, "structural_low": 0.082, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.009093, "positive_rate": 0.314286, "directional_follow_through": 0.542857, "median_excess_return": -0.027952, "regime_survival": 0.885714, "best_return": 0.294737, "worst_return": -0.179484, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.046731, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.07153, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.23, "worst_return": -0.215383, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.15, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.232487, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.249993, "worst_return": -0.251282, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.061977, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.25848, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": -0.018344, "worst_return": -0.379483, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.153231, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.023262, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.090908, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.033333, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.086211, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.055749, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.05, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.105691, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.106383, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.134615, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.077778, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.058824, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.115986, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 3470.0, "trend": 0.121509, "fair_value": 0.245055, "relative_strength": -9.346697, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 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"trend": 0.1019, "fair_value": 0.114525, "relative_strength": -25.98955, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.023505, "energy": 84.855942, "activity_lines": [ 0.0886, 0.094709, 0.1015, 0.101867 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 0.085, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2740.0, "trend": 0.101367, "fair_value": 0.114302, "relative_strength": -25.946533, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.427245, "energy": 90.195984, "activity_lines": [ 0.086467, 0.091782, 0.09981, 0.100776 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 0.084, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2740.0, "trend": 0.1008, "fair_value": 0.114065, "relative_strength": -26.176361, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.341754, "energy": 89.167698, "activity_lines": [ 0.085267, 0.089364, 0.098095, 0.099656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.083, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 2535.0, "trend": 0.100233, "fair_value": 0.113848, "relative_strength": -27.190457, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.563856, "energy": 88.233346, "activity_lines": [ 0.084133, 0.087473, 0.096362, 0.098508 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.092, "volume": 4700, "typical_volume": 2770.0, "trend": 0.099967, "fair_value": 0.113688, "relative_strength": -22.072589, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.514392, "energy": 56.798621, "activity_lines": [ 0.086467, 0.087709, 0.095543, 0.097976 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.092, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2770.0, "trend": 0.0997, "fair_value": 0.113528, "relative_strength": -22.077534, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.25372, "energy": 41.092886, "activity_lines": [ 0.088667, 0.087982, 0.094738, 0.097462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.092, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2770.0, "trend": 0.099433, "fair_value": 0.113368, "relative_strength": -22.62748, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.176181, "energy": 32.862998, "activity_lines": [ 0.090267, 0.088473, 0.093948, 0.096966 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.09, "volume": 10200, "typical_volume": 3280.0, "trend": 0.0991, "fair_value": 0.113195, "relative_strength": -24.247692, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.765453, "energy": 30.359657, "activity_lines": [ 0.090733, 0.088818, 0.092981, 0.096357 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.09, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3255.0, "trend": 0.098767, "fair_value": 0.113028, "relative_strength": -24.578303, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.086054, "energy": 28.366948, "activity_lines": [ 0.0908, 0.089164, 0.092038, 0.09577 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }