{ "ticker": { "uuid": "628e2a52-1e5c-499e-af3c-e94de9438c70", "symbol": "XD5E", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI EMU UCITS ETF 1D", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.968, "architecture_energy": 62.516, "architecture_maturity": 52.627, "architecture_confidence": 87.238, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.61, "rotation_up": 57.52, "upward_expansion": 83.38, "deceleration": 62.46, "rotation_down": 26.47, "downward_expansion": 10.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 69.876666, 69.553454, 68.217762, 66.93398 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 71.330002, "trend_reference": 65.595162, "distance_from_trend": 0.087428, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 54.064139, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.319359, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.586178, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.111729, "excess_performance": 0.047089, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087428, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043503, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.319359, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067916, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.045862, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023377, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.111729, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.281066, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 86758, "relative_activity": 0.84289, "balance": 2.281066, "dry_up": 0.904177, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022388, "annualized_volatility": 0.170645, "from_high_reference": -0.004049, "from_low_reference": 0.265727 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 65.595162, "fair_value_reference": 54.064139, "structural_low": 57.91, 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7.349967, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.911846, "energy": 66.459467, "activity_lines": [ 69.143999, 68.672546, 67.001572, 65.988695 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 69.099998, "volume": 63310, "typical_volume": 110263.4, "trend": 65.109296, "fair_value": 53.719237, "relative_strength": 6.78791, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.305227, "energy": 55.805532, "activity_lines": [ 69.094665, 68.879272, 67.358857, 66.26279 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 69.529999, "volume": 70928, "typical_volume": 107683.75, "trend": 65.347256, "fair_value": 53.885433, "relative_strength": 4.958223, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.481585, "energy": 51.118683, "activity_lines": [ 69.215332, 69.079999, 67.721381, 66.547996 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 71.330002, "volume": 86758, "typical_volume": 102929.25, "trend": 65.595162, "fair_value": 54.064139, "relative_strength": 4.586178, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.968235, "energy": 62.515832, "activity_lines": [ 69.876666, 69.553454, 68.217762, 66.93398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }