{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6291df8b-576a-46f9-8bd0-6f71cb9c6e06",
    "symbol": "DJLEV",
    "name": "Amundi EURO STOXX 50 Daily (2x) Leveraged UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.018,
    "architecture_energy": 64.091,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.289,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.667,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.25,
        "rotation_up": 59.22,
        "upward_expansion": 81.6,
        "deceleration": 57.65,
        "rotation_down": 22.31,
        "downward_expansion": 10.6
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        87.352668,
        86.229637,
        82.845095,
        80.21871
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 91.540001,
    "trend_reference": 77.830666,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.176143,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 59.215737,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.545873,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.281299,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.192238,
    "excess_performance": 0.021346,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.176143,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067265,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.545873,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.201559,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072813,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103066,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.192238,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.885865,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6966,
      "relative_activity": 0.187763,
      "balance": 2.885865,
      "dry_up": 0.359637,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045218,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.343913,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007804,
      "from_low_reference": 0.516819
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 77.830666,
      "fair_value_reference": 59.215737,
      "structural_low": 61.5,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 36,
        "median_return": 0.00747,
        "positive_rate": 0.527778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.527778,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002071,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.218202,
        "worst_return": -0.200919,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.127273,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.245648,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 32702.9,
        "trend": 71.789333,
        "fair_value": 55.574038,
        "relative_strength": -2.60364,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 28.872281,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 36743.85,
        "trend": 72.092666,
        "fair_value": 55.790545,
        "relative_strength": -3.025265,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 73.089996,
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        "typical_volume": 38406.25,
        "trend": 72.273666,
        "fair_value": 55.984455,
        "relative_strength": -5.068823,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 42181.05,
        "trend": 72.583,
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        "relative_strength": 0.949799,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.080667,
        "energy": 29.638467,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 44115.8,
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        "relative_strength": 0.794334,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 13719,
        "typical_volume": 43850.45,
        "trend": 73.353,
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        "relative_strength": 1.361199,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 46434.85,
        "trend": 73.776666,
        "fair_value": 56.956154,
        "relative_strength": 1.75939,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 19160,
        "typical_volume": 46539.35,
        "trend": 74.938666,
        "fair_value": 57.504295,
        "relative_strength": 3.428865,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.358002,
        "energy": 75.746606,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 3604,
        "typical_volume": 46110.1,
        "trend": 75.546333,
        "fair_value": 57.816891,
        "relative_strength": 6.417719,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.517719,
        "energy": 85.726672,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 84.550003,
        "volume": 17668,
        "typical_volume": 46728.15,
        "trend": 76.019666,
        "fair_value": 58.083686,
        "relative_strength": 1.909728,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.70755,
        "energy": 77.662457,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.384666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 83.470001,
        "volume": 21166,
        "typical_volume": 47259.35,
        "trend": 76.427333,
        "fair_value": 58.344872,
        "relative_strength": 1.944624,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.972162,
        "energy": 64.945597,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.915333,
          83.590546,
          79.864571,
          78.131828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 84.779999,
        "volume": 17852,
        "typical_volume": 44992.2,
        "trend": 76.893333,
        "fair_value": 58.604199,
        "relative_strength": 3.566181,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.972009,
        "energy": 53.377617,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.802,
          84.136909,
          80.654762,
          78.670709
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 86.690002,
        "volume": 7386,
        "typical_volume": 41207.0,
        "trend": 77.342666,
        "fair_value": 58.893461,
        "relative_strength": 4.87641,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.334205,
        "energy": 49.302448,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.378001,
          84.818,
          81.560238,
          79.302753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 91.540001,
        "volume": 6966,
        "typical_volume": 37099.9,
        "trend": 77.830666,
        "fair_value": 59.215737,
        "relative_strength": 7.281299,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.018312,
        "energy": 64.090644,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.352668,
          86.229637,
          82.845095,
          80.21871
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}