{ "ticker": { "uuid": "62a0d597-0db5-43f2-b2c9-01efd110fb59", "symbol": "BRU", "name": "Buru Energy Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -75.2, "architecture_energy": 58.107, "architecture_maturity": 83.248, "architecture_confidence": 85.666, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.97, "rotation_up": 29.38, "upward_expansion": 10.21, "deceleration": 59.19, "rotation_down": 48.49, "downward_expansion": 76.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.012, 0.012127, 0.01299, 0.014806 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.011, "trend_reference": 0.017317, "distance_from_trend": -0.364774, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.055712, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.802554, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.380041, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.5, "excess_performance": -0.563706, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.364774, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098873, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.802554, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04237, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.4238, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097819, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.5, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.682292, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3313325, "relative_activity": 0.36704, "balance": 0.682292, "dry_up": 0.788591, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.136364, "annualized_volatility": 0.698763, "from_high_reference": -0.592593, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.017317, "fair_value_reference": 0.055712, "structural_low": 0.011, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.038462, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.564103, "median_excess_return": -0.060186, "regime_survival": 0.871795, "best_return": 0.277778, "worst_return": -0.379747, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.126316, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.122635, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.633333, "worst_return": -0.445783, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.17029, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.164996, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.75, "worst_return": -0.526316, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-05-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.066667, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-10", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.515789, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.02439, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.388889, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.043478, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.043478, "active": false }, { 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.012, "volume": 1585184, "typical_volume": 8680856.4, "trend": 0.018117, "fair_value": 0.057949, "relative_strength": -36.729581, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.167803, "energy": 82.371318, "activity_lines": [ 0.012, 0.012564, 0.014357, 0.016265 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.013, "volume": 19173917, "typical_volume": 9416418.65, "trend": 0.01795, "fair_value": 0.057423, "relative_strength": -30.673605, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.3555, "energy": 79.752674, "activity_lines": [ 0.012267, 0.012555, 0.014012, 0.015934 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.013, "volume": 3057956, "typical_volume": 9043709.25, "trend": 0.01785, "fair_value": 0.056865, "relative_strength": -29.811832, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.09125, "energy": 70.861195, "activity_lines": [ 0.012533, 0.012582, 0.013719, 0.015615 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.012, "volume": 2929699, "typical_volume": 9037716.55, "trend": 0.017683, "fair_value": 0.056314, "relative_strength": -35.917305, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.555457, "energy": 50.836859, "activity_lines": [ 0.012467, 0.012427, 0.013374, 0.015238 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.011, "volume": 3313325, "typical_volume": 9027144.15, "trend": 0.017317, "fair_value": 0.055712, "relative_strength": -42.380041, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.200451, "energy": 58.1071, "activity_lines": [ 0.012, 0.012127, 0.01299, 0.014806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }