{ "ticker": { "uuid": "62a743ad-f3d9-4adc-ae69-75fb30916de0", "symbol": "UC65", "name": "UBS Core MSCI Japan UCITS ETF JPY dis", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.799, "architecture_energy": 37.303, "architecture_maturity": 57.918, "architecture_confidence": 90.632, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.02, "rotation_up": 40.12, "upward_expansion": 66.73, "deceleration": 91.36, "rotation_down": 28.46, "downward_expansion": 13.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 77.586999, 77.554999, 76.761262, 75.608863 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 80.290001, "trend_reference": 74.303218, "distance_from_trend": 0.080572, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 58.718121, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.36738, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.28963, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.094351, "excess_performance": 0.043116, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.080572, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051663, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.36738, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015785, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.042896, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036195, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.094351, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.710112, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 45233, "relative_activity": 2.485227, "balance": 1.710112, "dry_up": 1.010041, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028387, "annualized_volatility": 0.22687, "from_high_reference": -0.195556, "from_low_reference": 0.308571 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 74.303218, "fair_value_reference": 58.718121, "structural_low": 66.330002, "invalidation": "A 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"typical_volume": 18427.5, "trend": 73.94822, "fair_value": 58.50026, "relative_strength": -0.375435, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.986945, "energy": 20.967476, "activity_lines": [ 76.449332, 76.981272, 76.23938, 75.199716 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 80.290001, "volume": 45233, "typical_volume": 18200.75, "trend": 74.303218, "fair_value": 58.718121, "relative_strength": 4.28963, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.799042, "energy": 37.303267, "activity_lines": [ 77.586999, 77.554999, 76.761262, 75.608863 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }