{ "ticker": { "uuid": "62af4e6b-fc3f-498c-9c94-cbc7b9509025", "symbol": "CF", "name": "CF Industries Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 79.259, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.662, "architecture_energy": 35.379, "architecture_maturity": 29.179, "architecture_confidence": 70.921, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.59, "rotation_up": 63.82, "upward_expansion": 76.08, "deceleration": 56.24, "rotation_down": 12.22, "downward_expansion": 5.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 120.498667, 117.072182, 116.448767, 116.219405 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 114.35, "trend_reference": 112.688714, "distance_from_trend": 0.014742, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 85.786512, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.33296, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.336083, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.245822, "excess_performance": 0.120197, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.014742, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.116472, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.33296, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068211, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.023361, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063683, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.245822, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.415502, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12128197, "relative_activity": 0.797055, "balance": 1.415502, "dry_up": 0.737444, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082843, "annualized_volatility": 0.454886, "from_high_reference": -0.191276, "from_low_reference": 0.530371 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 112.688714, "fair_value_reference": 85.786512, "structural_low": 91.783669, "invalidation": "A 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 116.92, "volume": 14077643, "typical_volume": 19579772.0, "trend": 107.019153, "fair_value": 84.595871, "relative_strength": 8.405828, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.20899, "energy": 16.147396, "activity_lines": [ 110.613333, 111.528048, 115.1608, 113.067141 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 121.42, "volume": 11920275, "typical_volume": 19567535.0, "trend": 108.467314, "fair_value": 84.900816, "relative_strength": 14.079807, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.097036, "energy": 21.353469, "activity_lines": [ 114.715333, 113.006, 115.572629, 113.996228 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 125.07, "volume": 10415083, "typical_volume": 18549790.8, "trend": 110.078424, "fair_value": 85.216042, "relative_strength": 17.818644, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.314732, "energy": 36.487925, "activity_lines": [ 119.238, 115.022909, 116.226002, 115.067369 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 125.19, "volume": 10421004, "typical_volume": 16780346.8, "trend": 111.605023, "fair_value": 85.531978, "relative_strength": 16.314009, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.780118, "energy": 47.369554, "activity_lines": [ 122.324667, 117.064727, 116.844373, 116.04231 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 114.35, "volume": 12128197, "typical_volume": 15216264.5, "trend": 112.688714, "fair_value": 85.786512, "relative_strength": 2.336083, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.66194, "energy": 35.379262, "activity_lines": [ 120.498667, 117.072182, 116.448767, 116.219405 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }