{ "ticker": { "uuid": "62cbd1a2-5a6c-4768-803b-82d698998355", "symbol": "CGGO", "name": "CAPITAL GROUP GLOBAL GROWTH EQUITY ETF SHARE CLASS", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 90.304, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 38.063, "architecture_energy": 22.375, "architecture_maturity": 61.035, "architecture_confidence": 84.34, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.02, "rotation_up": 24.57, "upward_expansion": 54.93, "deceleration": 90.95, "rotation_down": 29.68, "downward_expansion": 18.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.844, 40.193818, 39.848286, 38.886989 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 40.63, "trend_reference": 37.818, "distance_from_trend": 0.074356, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.434843, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.334983, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.441909, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.124862, "excess_performance": -0.000763, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074356, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055454, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.334983, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03165, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.004419, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039049, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.124862, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.12101, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5769674, "relative_activity": 0.929096, "balance": 1.12101, "dry_up": 1.082206, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048827, "annualized_volatility": 0.229413, "from_high_reference": -0.052472, "from_low_reference": 0.277066 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.818, "fair_value_reference": 30.434843, "structural_low": 31.94, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.044618, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.011433, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.045203, "worst_return": 0.024517, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.076869, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.060063, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.183144, "worst_return": 0.022702, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.134488, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.004628, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.200291, "worst_return": 0.068686, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.016642, 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.996869, "energy": 34.071714, "activity_lines": [ 40.449333, 40.538182, 39.42319, 38.458 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.09, "volume": 6712239, "typical_volume": 6167980.9, "trend": 37.520333, "fair_value": 30.218793, "relative_strength": 1.241706, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.634993, "energy": 22.575193, "activity_lines": [ 39.844, 40.310545, 39.524905, 38.568 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.5, "volume": 7614478, "typical_volume": 6246233.7, "trend": 37.665333, "fair_value": 30.323103, "relative_strength": 1.134831, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.208411, "energy": 20.799993, "activity_lines": [ 39.599333, 40.150727, 39.64519, 38.69572 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.63, "volume": 5769674, "typical_volume": 6209988.55, "trend": 37.818, "fair_value": 30.434843, "relative_strength": 0.441909, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.063051, "energy": 22.374534, "activity_lines": [ 39.844, 40.193818, 39.848286, 38.886989 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }