{ "ticker": { "uuid": "62e98d36-2914-42c0-a694-5702722272b6", "symbol": "UIM5", "name": "UBS Core MSCI Japan UCITS ETF JPY dis", "exchange": "AMS", "country": "NL", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AEX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.742, "architecture_energy": 36.606, "architecture_maturity": 61.315, "architecture_confidence": 89.257, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.83, "rotation_up": 36.47, "upward_expansion": 64.47, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 27.31, "downward_expansion": 16.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 67.363934, 67.4512, 66.513472, 65.362513 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 68.912003, "trend_reference": 63.96245, "distance_from_trend": 0.077382, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 52.333471, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.316786, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.780419, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.109517, "excess_performance": -0.007146, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.077382, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05705, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.316786, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035078, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.017804, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05372, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.109517, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 27.550749, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17293, "relative_activity": 1.761509, "balance": 27.550749, "dry_up": 0.873777, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026214, "annualized_volatility": 0.191777, "from_high_reference": -0.010624, "from_low_reference": 0.304414 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 63.96245, "fair_value_reference": 52.333471, "structural_low": 58.722, "invalidation": "A 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67.416182, 65.521119, 64.396313 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 65.446999, "volume": 2552, "typical_volume": 12646.8, "trend": 62.995836, "fair_value": 51.860819, "relative_strength": -1.321951, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.140469, "energy": 52.821217, "activity_lines": [ 67.366066, 67.194982, 65.652838, 64.573731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 66.940002, "volume": 12080, "typical_volume": 12568.55, "trend": 63.347662, "fair_value": 52.009137, "relative_strength": 0.968332, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.582609, "energy": 40.697975, "activity_lines": [ 67.055733, 67.227819, 65.923434, 64.828193 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.378998, "volume": 2387, "typical_volume": 11977.9, "trend": 63.661387, "fair_value": 52.162473, "relative_strength": -0.78798, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.672656, "energy": 30.322961, "activity_lines": [ 66.739199, 67.119273, 66.112229, 65.023763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 68.912003, "volume": 17293, "typical_volume": 9817.15, "trend": 63.96245, "fair_value": 52.333471, "relative_strength": 1.780419, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.742086, "energy": 36.60563, "activity_lines": [ 67.363934, 67.4512, 66.513472, 65.362513 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }