{ "ticker": { "uuid": "62ec187c-48f2-4fd9-99e0-1cc225bd8409", "symbol": "2753", "name": "Bafang Yunji International Company Limited", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 48.423, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.285, "architecture_energy": 45.172, "architecture_maturity": 11.094, "architecture_confidence": 76.753, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.23, "rotation_up": 57.27, "upward_expansion": 81.11, "deceleration": 50.4, "rotation_down": 18.34, "downward_expansion": 10.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 180.866667, 180.088378, 177.703912, 176.634643 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 182.5, "trend_reference": 175.705575, "distance_from_trend": 0.038669, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 158.870141, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.148737, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.132103, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.050067, "excess_performance": -0.391305, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.038669, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006716, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.148737, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062931, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.281321, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080292, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.050067, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.518591, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 982991, "relative_activity": 0.745111, "balance": 2.518591, "dry_up": 0.865779, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035621, "annualized_volatility": 0.131708, "from_high_reference": -0.124148, "from_low_reference": 0.105012 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 175.705575, "fair_value_reference": 158.870141, "structural_low": 165.156509, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.015773, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.03161, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.051205, "worst_return": -0.075209, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.03504, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.149415, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": -0.011372, "worst_return": -0.085889, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.055834, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.296801, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.002137, "worst_return": -0.096284, "sufficient": 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.025497, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.027523, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.083333, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.125394, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.007937, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": 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1574985, "typical_volume": 1336193.2, "trend": 175.831614, "fair_value": 158.366695, "relative_strength": -25.848145, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.657144, "energy": 21.468844, "activity_lines": [ 178.733333, 178.96101, 176.45474, 175.867883 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 181.0, "volume": 925025, "typical_volume": 1318887.15, "trend": 175.783603, "fair_value": 158.612233, "relative_strength": -27.038241, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.211197, "energy": 25.189399, "activity_lines": [ 179.5, 179.50181, 177.023901, 176.201327 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 182.5, "volume": 982991, "typical_volume": 1319254.35, "trend": 175.705575, "fair_value": 158.870141, "relative_strength": -28.132103, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.284838, "energy": 45.172488, "activity_lines": [ 180.866667, 180.088378, 177.703912, 176.634643 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }