{ "ticker": { "uuid": "62f204de-0b7d-4455-8237-77065e0b39fe", "symbol": "2383", "name": "Elite Material Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 84.102, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.883, "architecture_energy": 40.232, "architecture_maturity": 50.15, "architecture_confidence": 60.548, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.31, "rotation_up": 43.61, "upward_expansion": 73.02, "deceleration": 72.54, "rotation_down": 25.27, "downward_expansion": 4.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 5335.0, 5265.727273, 5103.047619, 4659.27957 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6165.0, "trend_reference": 3945.833333, "distance_from_trend": 0.562408, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1290.916428, "distance_from_fair_value": 3.775677, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 73.0047, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 2.202597, "excess_performance": 1.761225, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.562408, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.462413, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 3.775677, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.473183, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.730047, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.186911, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.202597, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.298541, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10021481, "relative_activity": 0.899654, "balance": 1.298541, "dry_up": 1.035706, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.137376, "annualized_volatility": 0.671845, "from_high_reference": -0.005645, "from_low_reference": 4.734884 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3945.833333, "fair_value_reference": 1290.916428, "structural_low": 1975.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.041667, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": 0.028622, "regime_survival": 0.384615, "best_return": 0.380081, "worst_return": -0.151724, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.175743, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.040839, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.61435, "worst_return": -0.187145, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.802778, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.653928, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 3.076233, "worst_return": 0.036554, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 3670.833333, "fair_value": 1222.77248, "relative_strength": 47.233217, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.892658, "energy": 22.000953, "activity_lines": [ 4860.0, 5051.0, 4887.238095, 4404.978495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5240.0, "volume": 12210559, "typical_volume": 11465002.05, "trend": 3792.5, "fair_value": 1253.825083, "relative_strength": 55.678026, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.796008, "energy": 22.737892, "activity_lines": [ 4915.333333, 5075.363636, 4956.880952, 4506.215054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 6165.0, "volume": 10021481, "typical_volume": 11139257.0, "trend": 3945.833333, "fair_value": 1290.916428, "relative_strength": 73.0047, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.882852, "energy": 40.232415, "activity_lines": [ 5335.0, 5265.727273, 5103.047619, 4659.27957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }