{ "ticker": { "uuid": "62f49d23-198f-4de8-a3df-2bf0851cf181", "symbol": "4442", "name": "J&B International Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 61.686, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 10.167, "architecture_energy": 24.689, "architecture_maturity": 10.799, "architecture_confidence": 50.814, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.8, "rotation_up": 55.47, "upward_expansion": 37.7, "deceleration": 36.97, "rotation_down": 25.84, "downward_expansion": 24.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 56.873333, 55.271536, 53.249787, 53.313701 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 52.700001, "trend_reference": 53.443841, "distance_from_trend": -0.013918, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 39.869953, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.321797, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -30.546545, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.005543, "excess_performance": -0.435829, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.013918, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008516, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.321797, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079865, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.305465, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06409, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.005543, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.89923, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 599156, "relative_activity": 0.719908, "balance": 1.89923, "dry_up": 3.787154, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123836, "annualized_volatility": 0.69817, "from_high_reference": -0.286141, "from_low_reference": 0.25244 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.443841, "fair_value_reference": 39.869953, "structural_low": 44.003294, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.333333, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.142857, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.008696, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.003496, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": 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"activity_lines": [ 49.966082, 49.979417, 50.928364, 51.882875 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 59.700001, "volume": 1679038, "typical_volume": 362645.9, "trend": 53.302584, "fair_value": 39.455427, "relative_strength": -18.95738, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 12.581352, "energy": 14.540275, "activity_lines": [ 52.993333, 51.82984, 51.62912, 52.295737 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 72.599998, "volume": 6621251, "typical_volume": 667008.1, "trend": 53.76897, "fair_value": 39.695605, "relative_strength": -0.034121, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 49.298867, "energy": 64.437602, "activity_lines": [ 59.853333, 55.811191, 53.523731, 53.540731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.099998, "volume": 3708253, "typical_volume": 832579.9, "trend": 53.549996, "fair_value": 39.777651, "relative_strength": -30.840493, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.190916, "energy": 28.301341, "activity_lines": [ 58.073332, 55.432674, 53.297387, 53.368539 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 52.700001, "volume": 599156, "typical_volume": 832267.4, "trend": 53.443841, "fair_value": 39.869953, "relative_strength": -30.546545, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 10.167293, "energy": 24.689399, "activity_lines": [ 56.873333, 55.271536, 53.249787, 53.313701 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }