{ "ticker": { "uuid": "62fbc7d6-bdbf-4f7b-adcf-655fe5b23bae", "symbol": "DY", "name": "Dycom Industries Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 50.2, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 5.316, "architecture_energy": 13.842, "architecture_maturity": 12.202, "architecture_confidence": 93.316, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.52, "rotation_up": 17.01, "upward_expansion": 40.58, "deceleration": 82.65, "rotation_down": 39.07, "downward_expansion": 34.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 411.573333, 426.329636, 433.870095, 423.54871 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 407.99, "trend_reference": 410.833, "distance_from_trend": -0.00692, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 228.832051, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.782923, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.456052, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.018778, "excess_performance": -0.106847, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.00692, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092937, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.782923, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.351176, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.004561, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.213831, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.018778, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.129005, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1875550, "relative_activity": 0.772803, "balance": 1.129005, "dry_up": 0.915181, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.143245, "annualized_volatility": 0.527142, "from_high_reference": -0.279761, "from_low_reference": 0.75103 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 410.833, "fair_value_reference": 228.832051, "structural_low": 323.785, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.015185, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.013787, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.125999, "worst_return": -0.110714, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.190485, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.168695, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.403149, "worst_return": -0.095496, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.190286, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.224867, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.418325, "worst_return": -0.049653, "sufficient": false }, { 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435.399619, 420.241333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 425.72, "volume": 2294361, "typical_volume": 2488944.55, "trend": 401.913, "fair_value": 220.820385, "relative_strength": 9.322764, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.101037, "energy": 21.481885, "activity_lines": [ 448.446, 454.938909, 436.31519, 421.949183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 407.11, "volume": 2238132, "typical_volume": 2513020.35, "trend": 404.004, "fair_value": 222.744167, "relative_strength": 5.654564, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.704896, "energy": 15.176514, "activity_lines": [ 432.324, 446.585455, 435.477476, 422.284473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 429.81, "volume": 1541634, "typical_volume": 2435271.1, "trend": 406.743333, "fair_value": 224.862564, "relative_strength": 11.535231, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.010245, "energy": 19.219881, "activity_lines": [ 427.894667, 442.744727, 436.863143, 423.949376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 401.07, "volume": 3229066, "typical_volume": 2468099.45, "trend": 408.527, "fair_value": 226.827244, "relative_strength": 2.537652, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.945099, "energy": 13.41584, "activity_lines": [ 415.674667, 433.816, 435.165286, 423.583355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 407.99, "volume": 1875550, "typical_volume": 2426945.75, "trend": 410.833, "fair_value": 228.832051, "relative_strength": 0.456052, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.316256, "energy": 13.841575, "activity_lines": [ 411.573333, 426.329636, 433.870095, 423.54871 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }