{ "ticker": { "uuid": "62fc4c38-27a6-405c-acd7-2c01a30b067c", "symbol": "TVTODAY", "name": "T.V. Today Network Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -2.93, "architecture_energy": 8.04, "architecture_maturity": 18.368, "architecture_confidence": 40.69, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.95, "rotation_up": 22.7, "upward_expansion": 22.65, "deceleration": 65.45, "rotation_down": 42.3, "downward_expansion": 31.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 116.421334, 118.169636, 116.726666, 115.73843 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 114.68, "trend_reference": 116.522334, "distance_from_trend": -0.015811, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 177.107227, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.352483, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.530854, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.066656, "excess_performance": -0.022947, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.015811, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058811, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.352483, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031713, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.095309, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015329, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.066656, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.324692, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 159337, "relative_activity": 0.662329, "balance": 0.324692, "dry_up": 0.726474, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078016, "annualized_volatility": 0.401399, "from_high_reference": -0.256724, "from_low_reference": 0.226524 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 116.522334, "fair_value_reference": 177.107227, "structural_low": 93.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.007246, "positive_rate": 0.647059, "directional_follow_through": 0.647059, "median_excess_return": -0.018664, "regime_survival": 0.529412, "best_return": 0.28319, "worst_return": -0.133204, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.09608, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.079439, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.458283, "worst_return": -0.142018, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.021502, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.089095, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.411427, "worst_return": -0.179572, 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"direction": 18.471189, "energy": 38.950185, "activity_lines": [ 123.581333, 119.410909, 116.341238, 116.365914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 116.449997, "volume": 132191, "typical_volume": 270779.1, "trend": 118.199334, "fair_value": 178.134862, "relative_strength": -5.893448, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.846045, "energy": 39.219367, "activity_lines": [ 121.852666, 119.308908, 116.63, 116.19858 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 113.690002, "volume": 199730, "typical_volume": 258538.35, "trend": 117.303, "fair_value": 177.642051, "relative_strength": -9.979801, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 2.390439, "energy": 5.418498, "activity_lines": [ 118.598667, 118.681636, 116.646143, 115.907656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 114.68, "volume": 159337, "typical_volume": 240570.9, "trend": 116.522334, "fair_value": 177.107227, "relative_strength": -9.530854, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -2.929957, "energy": 8.04019, "activity_lines": [ 116.421334, 118.169636, 116.726666, 115.73843 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }