{ "ticker": { "uuid": "630e8a6c-664b-4471-8afb-6d1516814b4a", "symbol": "PVH", "name": "PVH Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.007, "architecture_energy": 26.905, "architecture_maturity": 32.024, "architecture_confidence": 56.622, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.69, "rotation_up": 51.92, "upward_expansion": 64.5, "deceleration": 59.45, "rotation_down": 13.44, "downward_expansion": 10.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 84.096, 81.252545, 82.551059, 80.773838 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 87.58, "trend_reference": 77.186214, "distance_from_trend": 0.134659, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 89.394866, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.020302, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.366621, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.32582, "excess_performance": 0.200195, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.134659, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025014, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.020302, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018333, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.003666, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046773, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.32582, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.058387, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5178605, "relative_activity": 0.927831, "balance": 1.058387, "dry_up": 0.8096, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11306, "annualized_volatility": 0.538657, "from_high_reference": -0.130676, "from_low_reference": 0.470025 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 77.186214, "fair_value_reference": 89.394866, "structural_low": 59.577203, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.007589, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.039376, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.117482, "worst_return": -0.104174, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.017639, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.082094, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.098377, "worst_return": -0.282388, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.064319, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.098926, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.09593, "worst_return": -0.079391, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.459565, "energy": 13.588845, "activity_lines": [ 77.316667, 78.884992, 81.389981, 79.03925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 80.41, "volume": 3730507, "typical_volume": 5608034.5, "trend": 75.842639, "fair_value": 89.36612, "relative_strength": -3.602356, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.777585, "energy": 8.172448, "activity_lines": [ 78.506667, 78.859357, 81.441234, 79.359349 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 86.66, "volume": 4349569, "typical_volume": 5581331.7, "trend": 76.472785, "fair_value": 89.369093, "relative_strength": 2.760828, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.859166, "energy": 20.856086, "activity_lines": [ 81.557333, 79.952079, 82.013797, 80.057243 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 87.58, "volume": 5178605, "typical_volume": 5581412.4, "trend": 77.186214, "fair_value": 89.394866, "relative_strength": 0.366621, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.007167, "energy": 26.905494, "activity_lines": [ 84.096, 81.252545, 82.551059, 80.773838 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }