{ "ticker": { "uuid": "63111705-83f5-4b54-8acd-5ac03e555cd1", "symbol": "MGA", "name": "Magna International Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.244, "architecture_energy": 65.238, "architecture_maturity": 14.244, "architecture_confidence": 89.985, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.15, "rotation_up": 65.79, "upward_expansion": 86.3, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 15.02, "downward_expansion": 12.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 68.024667, 66.625636, 65.105883, 63.332773 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 70.36, "trend_reference": 61.020852, "distance_from_trend": 0.153048, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 46.373227, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.517255, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.911703, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.323464, "excess_performance": 0.197839, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.153048, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090879, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.517255, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.129326, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.139117, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017392, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.323464, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.694307, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7827241, "relative_activity": 1.131761, "balance": 1.694307, "dry_up": 1.005083, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060873, "annualized_volatility": 0.431655, "from_high_reference": -0.022235, "from_low_reference": 0.737861 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 61.020852, "fair_value_reference": 46.373227, "structural_low": 51.031776, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.015686, "positive_rate": 0.529412, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": 0.003403, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.253511, "worst_return": -0.192605, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.045771, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.061448, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.400081, "worst_return": -0.170292, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.004257, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.129395, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.363027, "worst_return": -0.135062, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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6028540, "typical_volume": 7030272.65, "trend": 60.025923, "fair_value": 46.15373, "relative_strength": 12.681312, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.324403, "energy": 29.728526, "activity_lines": [ 65.126, 65.111455, 63.646644, 62.144734 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 68.6, "volume": 8736317, "typical_volume": 7036300.2, "trend": 60.519478, "fair_value": 46.247468, "relative_strength": 15.686926, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.840407, "energy": 47.191361, "activity_lines": [ 66.416667, 65.745091, 64.325757, 62.697901 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.36, "volume": 7827241, "typical_volume": 6915984.65, "trend": 61.020852, "fair_value": 46.373227, "relative_strength": 13.911703, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.243916, "energy": 65.238202, "activity_lines": [ 68.024667, 66.625636, 65.105883, 63.332773 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }