{ "ticker": { "uuid": "631c28f1-8caf-45c2-a01e-5585ca4c0022", "symbol": "002067", "name": "Zhejiang Jingxing Paper Joint Stock Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -36.25, "architecture_energy": 20.802, "architecture_maturity": 90.383, "architecture_confidence": 77.308, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.01, "rotation_up": 26.63, "upward_expansion": 14.72, "deceleration": 46.8, "rotation_down": 25.6, "downward_expansion": 60.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.334, 4.21289, 4.385019, 4.578007 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 4.57, "trend_reference": 4.864932, "distance_from_trend": -0.060624, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.952251, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.156303, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.513466, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.172101, "excess_performance": -0.179501, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.060624, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092019, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.156303, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.142184, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.145135, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034645, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.172101, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.94043, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 383996881, "relative_activity": 1.638831, "balance": 0.94043, "dry_up": 1.433796, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103245, "annualized_volatility": 0.432031, "from_high_reference": -0.412596, "from_low_reference": 0.252055 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.864932, "fair_value_reference": 3.952251, "structural_low": 3.65, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.015038, "positive_rate": 0.518519, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.015405, "regime_survival": 0.740741, "best_return": 0.137037, "worst_return": -0.24047, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.04816, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.337766, "worst_return": -0.084375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.038461, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.087374, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.49734, "worst_return": -0.13899, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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-57.907664, "energy": 44.362797, "activity_lines": [ 4.048, 4.121861, 4.398714, 4.630902 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.45, "volume": 389349532, "typical_volume": 224394921.75, "trend": 4.900932, "fair_value": 3.945186, "relative_strength": -12.618302, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.46095, "energy": 31.745159, "activity_lines": [ 4.197333, 4.149759, 4.384104, 4.599358 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.57, "volume": 383996881, "typical_volume": 234311527.6, "trend": 4.864932, "fair_value": 3.952251, "relative_strength": -14.513466, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.249711, "energy": 20.80194, "activity_lines": [ 4.334, 4.21289, 4.385019, 4.578007 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }