{ "ticker": { "uuid": "632ab306-2914-49e4-857f-dc3512ed9c7a", "symbol": "SRET", "name": "GLOBAL X SUPERDIVIDEND REIT ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.854, "architecture_energy": 35.6, "architecture_maturity": 32.059, "architecture_confidence": 68.98, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.19, "rotation_up": 53.08, "upward_expansion": 76.85, "deceleration": 57.06, "rotation_down": 19.22, "downward_expansion": 3.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.607536, 22.547631, 22.417923, 22.229479 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.4484, "trend_reference": 22.064574, "distance_from_trend": 0.017396, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.015871, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.180509, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.555663, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.019522, "excess_performance": -0.167932, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.017396, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023162, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.180509, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038328, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.085557, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006334, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.019522, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.94238, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 142786, "relative_activity": 0.733489, "balance": 0.94238, "dry_up": 0.789311, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026089, "annualized_volatility": 0.139665, "from_high_reference": -0.036159, "from_low_reference": 0.135713 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.064574, "fair_value_reference": 19.015871, "structural_low": 20.287541, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.00379, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": -0.023344, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.060998, "worst_return": -0.077503, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.023734, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.047833, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.083739, "worst_return": -0.066579, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.058928, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.08408, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.08301, "worst_return": -0.095658, "sufficient": true }, 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"relative_strength": -3.108154, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.059347, "energy": 62.854455, "activity_lines": [ 22.616599, 22.443192, 22.262553, 22.113049 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.814429, "volume": 151420, "typical_volume": 208068.5, "trend": 21.991391, "fair_value": 18.950619, "relative_strength": -2.150945, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.513433, "energy": 61.821643, "activity_lines": [ 22.725789, 22.529953, 22.34148, 22.17002 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.498598, "volume": 121203, "typical_volume": 200551.45, "trend": 22.033981, "fair_value": 18.983152, "relative_strength": -3.884508, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.501011, "energy": 50.356408, "activity_lines": [ 22.673059, 22.544857, 22.385118, 22.202743 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.4484, "volume": 142786, "typical_volume": 194666.9, "trend": 22.064574, "fair_value": 19.015871, "relative_strength": -8.555663, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.853996, "energy": 35.60018, "activity_lines": [ 22.607536, 22.547631, 22.417923, 22.229479 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }