{ "ticker": { "uuid": "632d0256-fb32-4462-92ea-f958a88a2b02", "symbol": "CETY", "name": "Clean Energy Technologies, Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 49.966, "architecture_energy": 31.175, "architecture_maturity": 42.616, "architecture_confidence": 74.352, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.45, "rotation_up": 50.99, "upward_expansion": 77.3, "deceleration": 53.87, "rotation_down": 16.84, "downward_expansion": 3.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.893907, 0.882925, 0.846704, 0.833296 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.88, "trend_reference": 0.812787, "distance_from_trend": 0.082695, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.007444, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.912065, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -47.780945, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.598547, "excess_performance": 0.411093, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082695, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072031, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.912065, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018928, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.477809, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.220134, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.598547, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.390433, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 156662, "relative_activity": 0.422983, "balance": 1.390433, "dry_up": 0.567131, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.175599, "annualized_volatility": 0.845174, "from_high_reference": -0.824351, "from_low_reference": 0.900238 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.812787, "fair_value_reference": 10.007444, "structural_low": 0.5196, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.047214, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.038468, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.137913, "worst_return": -0.161538, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.021619, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.160564, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.197772, "worst_return": -0.292308, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.054515, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.266895, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.266017, "worst_return": -0.4, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.474179, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.378431, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.038997, "worst_return": -0.555769, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2022-10-28", "end": "2022-12-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.6, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2022-12-30", "end": "2023-03-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.603571, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-03-24", "end": "2023-04-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.514563, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2023-04-28", "end": "2023-05-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.085714, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-06-02", "end": "2023-06-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.23431, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-06-16", "end": "2023-09-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.26378, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-10-06", "end": "2023-10-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.042547, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-10-20", "end": "2024-04-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.156028, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-04-19", "end": "2024-05-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.081633, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.251852, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-09-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.084112, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.048379, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.941663, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.100138, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 20.7, "volume": 92587, "typical_volume": 459579.35, "trend": 43.24, "fair_value": 30.970019, "relative_strength": -54.950403, "stage": 4, "regime": 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-52.37208, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.128554, "energy": 22.525483, "activity_lines": [ 0.85956, 0.848735, 0.825064, 0.813992 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.9194, "volume": 99838, "typical_volume": 411771.3, "trend": 0.802137, "fair_value": 10.272893, "relative_strength": -47.550846, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.705321, "energy": 28.37296, "activity_lines": [ 0.880613, 0.866616, 0.834055, 0.821685 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.91, "volume": 99380, "typical_volume": 383000.35, "trend": 0.807887, "fair_value": 10.140265, "relative_strength": -45.755032, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.50187, "energy": 29.233768, "activity_lines": [ 0.895593, 0.879407, 0.841964, 0.828644 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.88, "volume": 156662, "typical_volume": 370374.45, "trend": 0.812787, "fair_value": 10.007444, "relative_strength": -47.780945, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.966169, "energy": 31.175142, "activity_lines": [ 0.893907, 0.882925, 0.846704, 0.833296 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }