{ "ticker": { "uuid": "63305ea8-c287-444f-8527-b6c054a00ab3", "symbol": "601968", "name": "Shanghai Baosteel Packaging Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.938, "architecture_energy": 27.495, "architecture_maturity": 87.536, "architecture_confidence": 79.113, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.19, "rotation_up": 27.78, "upward_expansion": 21.99, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 28.59, "downward_expansion": 60.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.383333, 4.287983, 4.441644, 4.684205 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.49, "trend_reference": 5.026301, "distance_from_trend": -0.106699, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.034177, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.108096, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.483808, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.259076, "excess_performance": -0.215872, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.106699, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066214, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.108096, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092977, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.114838, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012573, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.259076, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.677128, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44572000, "relative_activity": 0.922644, "balance": 0.677128, "dry_up": 1.156494, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068889, "annualized_volatility": 0.266656, "from_high_reference": -0.306028, "from_low_reference": 0.136709 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.026301, "fair_value_reference": 5.034177, "structural_low": 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"typical_volume": 49097674.7, "trend": 5.135301, "fair_value": 5.081444, "relative_strength": -11.976866, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.77927, "energy": 62.382679, "activity_lines": [ 4.166667, 4.245821, 4.544249, 4.821769 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.13, "volume": 49684890, "typical_volume": 48586236.0, "trend": 5.092301, "fair_value": 5.064289, "relative_strength": -16.527843, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.349392, "energy": 59.281253, "activity_lines": [ 4.165333, 4.204186, 4.478587, 4.756911 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.53, "volume": 54422005, "typical_volume": 48757475.7, "trend": 5.054634, "fair_value": 5.048839, "relative_strength": -8.525238, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.494787, "energy": 39.255644, "activity_lines": [ 4.299333, 4.249016, 4.459401, 4.720633 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.49, "volume": 44572000, "typical_volume": 48308989.45, "trend": 5.026301, "fair_value": 5.034177, "relative_strength": -11.483808, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.937699, "energy": 27.494601, "activity_lines": [ 4.383333, 4.287983, 4.441644, 4.684205 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }