{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6333c8e6-7f11-415e-890b-67dbe72cf846", "symbol": "CVVY", "name": "Cavvy Energy Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.451, "architecture_energy": 57.074, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.374, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.89, "rotation_up": 62.48, "upward_expansion": 79.77, "deceleration": 56.67, "rotation_down": 16.17, "downward_expansion": 8.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.757333, 1.695636, 1.632429, 1.531613 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.84, "trend_reference": 1.369667, "distance_from_trend": 0.343393, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.616987, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.982234, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 48.076856, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.021978, "excess_performance": 0.901557, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.343393, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.233934, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.982234, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.399327, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.480769, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046549, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.021978, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.896129, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2585400, "relative_activity": 0.882736, "balance": 4.896129, "dry_up": 1.238285, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096572, "annualized_volatility": 0.606605, "from_high_reference": -0.06599, "from_low_reference": 3.181818 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.369667, "fair_value_reference": 0.616987, "structural_low": 0.89, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.117647, "positive_rate": 0.76, "directional_follow_through": 0.76, "median_excess_return": 0.070319, "regime_survival": 0.84, "best_return": 0.6, "worst_return": -0.29375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.205882, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": 0.150137, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.487805, "worst_return": -0.451613, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.985915, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.826541, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 2.0, "worst_return": -0.664516, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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1.623455, 1.518571, 1.396043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.53, "volume": 2442300, "typical_volume": 2978305.0, "trend": 1.256, "fair_value": 0.589615, "relative_strength": 36.247508, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.76976, "energy": 28.581321, "activity_lines": [ 1.579333, 1.613091, 1.530524, 1.415075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.61, "volume": 3392000, "typical_volume": 3113170.0, "trend": 1.28, "fair_value": 0.595833, "relative_strength": 41.051339, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.86648, "energy": 24.431679, "activity_lines": [ 1.571333, 1.613818, 1.54719, 1.437914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.75, "volume": 5083900, "typical_volume": 3209615.0, "trend": 1.309333, "fair_value": 0.602885, "relative_strength": 50.453578, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.570789, "energy": 36.57063, "activity_lines": [ 1.627333, 1.635455, 1.57419, 1.468237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.79, "volume": 3445700, "typical_volume": 3043655.0, "trend": 1.338333, "fair_value": 0.609679, "relative_strength": 51.555364, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.560298, "energy": 45.62213, "activity_lines": [ 1.693333, 1.662, 1.602238, 1.499247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.84, "volume": 2585400, "typical_volume": 2928850.0, "trend": 1.369667, "fair_value": 0.616987, "relative_strength": 48.076856, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.451203, "energy": 57.074027, "activity_lines": [ 1.757333, 1.695636, 1.632429, 1.531613 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }