{ "ticker": { "uuid": "63386bb4-b58d-4fd3-9c83-b5b0b4502098", "symbol": "NA", "name": "Nano Labs Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 91.152, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.365, "architecture_energy": 31.934, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 68.34, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.69, "rotation_up": 23.69, "upward_expansion": 15.04, "deceleration": 60.06, "rotation_down": 42.02, "downward_expansion": 65.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.851333, 1.842727, 1.996095, 2.203333 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.86, "trend_reference": 2.520333, "distance_from_trend": -0.262002, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.96372, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.732901, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -52.015268, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.407643, "excess_performance": -0.595097, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.262002, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192977, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.732901, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06909, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.520153, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.185839, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.407643, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.569169, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 78871, "relative_activity": 0.144378, "balance": 0.569169, "dry_up": 0.219345, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.232709, "annualized_volatility": 0.961642, "from_high_reference": -0.704762, "from_low_reference": 0.177141 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.520333, "fair_value_reference": 6.96372, "structural_low": 1.5801, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.051169, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.03851, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.965637, "worst_return": -0.277108, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.05805, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.067474, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.089189, "worst_return": -0.474522, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.120722, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.243385, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.408108, "worst_return": -0.60241, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.930081, "energy": 40.676444, "activity_lines": [ 2.071333, 2.143455, 2.392143, 2.604839 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 1.72, "volume": 417667, "typical_volume": 597007.3, "trend": 2.786333, "fair_value": 7.487067, "relative_strength": -62.293026, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.924908, "energy": 60.558761, "activity_lines": [ 1.911333, 2.056909, 2.307381, 2.530344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 1.7, "volume": 191212, "typical_volume": 597028.95, "trend": 2.743, "fair_value": 7.378092, "relative_strength": -61.592459, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.025846, "energy": 65.694124, "activity_lines": [ 1.795333, 1.985818, 2.227476, 2.460258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.98, "volume": 162809, "typical_volume": 599956.85, "trend": 2.709, "fair_value": 7.282631, "relative_strength": -54.473945, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.126303, "energy": 48.980834, "activity_lines": [ 1.837333, 1.974909, 2.181619, 2.411032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.77, "volume": 199297, "typical_volume": 596884.4, "trend": 2.664, "fair_value": 7.190131, "relative_strength": -55.871137, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.998953, "energy": 44.41526, "activity_lines": [ 1.818667, 1.922727, 2.120762, 2.350452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.93, "volume": 96533, "typical_volume": 565891.6, "trend": 2.623, "fair_value": 7.110836, "relative_strength": -49.407242, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.372029, "energy": 36.909542, "activity_lines": [ 1.852667, 1.897455, 2.080762, 2.303097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.79, "volume": 104595, "typical_volume": 553858.7, "trend": 2.573333, "fair_value": 7.030002, "relative_strength": -52.343423, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.205048, "energy": 35.512715, "activity_lines": [ 1.842667, 1.857455, 2.032333, 2.249355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.86, "volume": 78871, "typical_volume": 546281.4, "trend": 2.520333, "fair_value": 6.96372, "relative_strength": -52.015268, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.36459, "energy": 31.934216, "activity_lines": [ 1.851333, 1.842727, 1.996095, 2.203333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }