{ "ticker": { "uuid": "634200f5-524b-4101-856f-f7018c321d2d", "symbol": "CBG", "name": "Carabao Group Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 89.832, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.762, "architecture_energy": 79.822, "architecture_maturity": 24.954, "architecture_confidence": 77.455, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.98, "rotation_up": 76.26, "upward_expansion": 94.31, "deceleration": 44.55, "rotation_down": 11.56, "downward_expansion": 18.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.05, 49.268182, 45.554762, 43.698985 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 51.25, "trend_reference": 42.287922, "distance_from_trend": 0.21193, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 59.532535, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.139126, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.654243, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.217809, "excess_performance": 0.025484, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.21193, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041592, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.139126, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.197971, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.006542, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.247851, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.217809, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.633079, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28078400, "relative_activity": 1.528068, "balance": 2.633079, "dry_up": 1.608203, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061914, "annualized_volatility": 0.447766, "from_high_reference": -0.160301, "from_low_reference": 0.564885 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.287922, "fair_value_reference": 59.532535, "structural_low": 32.75, 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"relative_strength": -3.758899, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.465601, "energy": 93.346612, "activity_lines": [ 49.333333, 46.054545, 42.797619, 41.937917 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.0, "volume": 33805700, "typical_volume": 18360655.0, "trend": 41.717857, "fair_value": 59.755277, "relative_strength": -6.158772, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.88311, "energy": 87.72062, "activity_lines": [ 50.183333, 47.154545, 43.707143, 42.487155 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.25, "volume": 15755600, "typical_volume": 17985915.0, "trend": 41.998788, "fair_value": 59.655225, "relative_strength": -2.010029, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.719917, "energy": 87.542912, "activity_lines": [ 50.833333, 48.318182, 44.671429, 43.102132 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.25, "volume": 28078400, "typical_volume": 18375095.0, "trend": 42.287922, "fair_value": 59.532535, "relative_strength": -0.654243, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.762015, "energy": 79.821542, "activity_lines": [ 51.05, 49.268182, 45.554762, 43.698985 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }