{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "63514fae-0e42-4c42-8279-b2f57416447a",
    "symbol": "IVA",
    "name": "Inventiva Sa",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -26.122,
    "architecture_energy": 24.46,
    "architecture_maturity": 75.852,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.198,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.54,
        "rotation_up": 37.03,
        "upward_expansion": 21.58,
        "deceleration": 44.02,
        "rotation_down": 18.49,
        "downward_expansion": 53.25
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.589333,
        4.323091,
        4.470476,
        4.782667
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 4.8,
    "trend_reference": 5.249667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.085656,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 3.836318,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.2512,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -18.386249,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.183673,
    "excess_performance": -0.371127,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.085656,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01254,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.2512,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.162923,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.183862,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114506,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.183673,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.200739,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3697175,
      "relative_activity": 0.986343,
      "balance": 1.200739,
      "dry_up": 1.116588,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.122837,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.522624,
      "from_high_reference": -0.398685,
      "from_low_reference": 0.432836
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.249667,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.836318,
      "structural_low": 3.35,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": -0.032506,
        "positive_rate": 0.416667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020753,
        "regime_survival": 0.791667,
        "best_return": 0.465608,
        "worst_return": -0.286188,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.006897,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014007,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.669528,
        "worst_return": -0.512332,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.130989,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.111429,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.462406,
        "worst_return": -0.616402,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.169379,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.215533,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.196923,
        "worst_return": -0.566155,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.122917,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.303186,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.005048,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025015,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.072948,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.448505,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.103911,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.6275,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.162238,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.140138,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013035,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.205128,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-06-19",
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        "return": -0.072727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.407625,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 4746986,
        "typical_volume": 3352794.8,
        "trend": 5.260667,
        "fair_value": 3.824844,
        "relative_strength": -17.935535,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.536579,
        "energy": 40.234146,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.547952,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 4.46,
        "volume": 3437190,
        "typical_volume": 3441252.5,
        "trend": 5.26,
        "fair_value": 3.8276,
        "relative_strength": -19.665428,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.436833,
        "energy": 25.284631,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.327333,
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          4.503,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.48,
        "volume": 4860186,
        "typical_volume": 3617098.65,
        "trend": 5.250667,
        "fair_value": 3.830485,
        "relative_strength": -19.874717,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.362872,
        "energy": 26.984885,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.440667,
          4.206,
          4.467905,
          4.811742
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.8,
        "volume": 3697175,
        "typical_volume": 3748368.15,
        "trend": 5.249667,
        "fair_value": 3.836318,
        "relative_strength": -18.386249,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -26.122424,
        "energy": 24.45998,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.589333,
          4.323091,
          4.470476,
          4.782667
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}