{ "ticker": { "uuid": "63562916-974b-454b-b466-7e4983272a18", "symbol": "6263", "name": "Planet Technology Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 28.606, "architecture_energy": 17.082, "architecture_maturity": 55.229, "architecture_confidence": 70.053, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.86, "rotation_up": 27.7, "upward_expansion": 50.03, "deceleration": 80.94, "rotation_down": 29.67, "downward_expansion": 25.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 154.833333, 156.927273, 157.411488, 150.520545 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 163.0, "trend_reference": 140.95934, "distance_from_trend": 0.156362, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 136.26414, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.196206, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.111616, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.407599, "excess_performance": -0.033773, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.156362, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085542, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.196206, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047188, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.141116, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031719, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.407599, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.341861, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 706699, "relative_activity": 0.414442, "balance": 0.341861, "dry_up": 0.448925, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097524, "annualized_volatility": 0.33275, "from_high_reference": -0.128342, "from_low_reference": 0.474628 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 140.95934, "fair_value_reference": 136.26414, "structural_low": 113.407442, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.058641, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.005334, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.214128, "worst_return": -0.0625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.143105, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.063386, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.263797, "worst_return": 0.019763, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.139181, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.09373, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.637584, "worst_return": 0.068071, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.00641, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.124088, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.057528, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.043189, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.024648, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.003745, "active": 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135.242607, "relative_strength": -18.048135, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.530541, "energy": 29.669499, "activity_lines": [ 161.266667, 163.036274, 155.16187, 146.627923 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 151.5, "volume": 714704, "typical_volume": 1632532.3, "trend": 138.079699, "fair_value": 135.502679, "relative_strength": -19.218859, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.52806, "energy": 23.381787, "activity_lines": [ 157.566667, 160.64248, 155.75869, 147.549942 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 145.5, "volume": 753327, "typical_volume": 1656011.8, "trend": 138.702839, "fair_value": 135.721625, "relative_strength": -20.424972, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.119976, "energy": 18.043247, "activity_lines": [ 152.766667, 157.378708, 155.625475, 148.028671 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 154.0, "volume": 887265, "typical_volume": 1683706.95, "trend": 139.673115, "fair_value": 135.938932, "relative_strength": -16.87857, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.314872, "energy": 20.054288, "activity_lines": [ 151.833333, 156.181818, 156.171748, 149.015584 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 163.0, "volume": 706699, "typical_volume": 1705183.45, "trend": 140.95934, "fair_value": 136.26414, "relative_strength": -14.111616, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.606087, "energy": 17.081886, "activity_lines": [ 154.833333, 156.927273, 157.411488, 150.520545 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }