{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "635e0567-787e-4c86-aed6-6d53c4aaab0c",
    "symbol": "REC",
    "name": "Record plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -63.482,
    "architecture_energy": 56.401,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.251,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.315,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.05,
        "rotation_up": 18.78,
        "upward_expansion": 9.52,
        "deceleration": 52.47,
        "rotation_down": 61.77,
        "downward_expansion": 82.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.440067,
        0.447332,
        0.475928,
        0.489821
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.44,
    "trend_reference": 0.507272,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.132615,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.533549,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.175334,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -22.589349,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.188539,
    "excess_performance": -0.239775,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.132615,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041629,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.175334,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.186861,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.225893,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.203256,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.188539,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.390697,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 757815,
      "relative_activity": 0.718394,
      "balance": 0.390697,
      "dry_up": 1.300605,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.064763,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.312258,
      "from_high_reference": -0.262342,
      "from_low_reference": 0.062802
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.507272,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.533549,
      "structural_low": 0.414,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": -0.021525,
        "positive_rate": 0.416667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03811,
        "regime_survival": 0.708333,
        "best_return": 0.187234,
        "worst_return": -0.140199,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.049057,
        "positive_rate": 0.222222,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.081626,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.150795,
        "worst_return": -0.162673,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.016972,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
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        "worst_return": -0.126617,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.13238,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 1064921.55,
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        "fair_value": 0.536498,
        "relative_strength": -21.385449,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 80.121427,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.441,
        "volume": 1017272,
        "typical_volume": 1079850.8,
        "trend": 0.509712,
        "fair_value": 0.535037,
        "relative_strength": -22.750285,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.990672,
        "energy": 74.820899,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.440733,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.44,
        "volume": 757815,
        "typical_volume": 1054873.3,
        "trend": 0.507272,
        "fair_value": 0.533549,
        "relative_strength": -22.589349,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.481997,
        "energy": 56.400928,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}