{ "ticker": { "uuid": "635f680a-6142-4e09-a0aa-43a1489615e4", "symbol": "COMP", "name": "Compass Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.548, "architecture_energy": 52.008, "architecture_maturity": 37.495, "architecture_confidence": 88.142, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.79, "rotation_up": 61.02, "upward_expansion": 80.54, "deceleration": 61.72, "rotation_down": 18.75, "downward_expansion": 7.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.826, 11.542, 10.316571, 9.820344 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 12.58, "trend_reference": 9.772667, "distance_from_trend": 0.287264, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.576474, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.912879, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 17.168593, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.025265, "excess_performance": -0.10036, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.287264, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017951, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.912879, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.465638, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.171686, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.272312, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.025265, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.835115, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 78834165, "relative_activity": 1.169925, "balance": 1.835115, "dry_up": 0.925506, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.120685, "annualized_volatility": 0.651849, "from_high_reference": -0.098531, "from_low_reference": 0.974882 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.772667, "fair_value_reference": 6.576474, "structural_low": 6.37, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.086232, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.108711, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.06492, "worst_return": -0.247059, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.042553, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.146478, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.071754, "worst_return": -0.444196, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.042553, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.18556, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.185649, "worst_return": -0.09375, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": 8.778653, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.740388, "energy": 61.37178, "activity_lines": [ 11.676667, 10.938182, 9.753952, 9.534086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.39, "volume": 55043308, "typical_volume": 66634526.9, "trend": 9.781333, "fair_value": 6.519679, "relative_strength": 10.319801, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.679122, "energy": 37.951677, "activity_lines": [ 11.552667, 11.159091, 9.986, 9.639785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.58, "volume": 78834165, "typical_volume": 67383932.1, "trend": 9.772667, "fair_value": 6.576474, "relative_strength": 17.168593, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.547736, "energy": 52.00784, "activity_lines": [ 11.826, 11.542, 10.316571, 9.820344 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }