{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6369f6b4-eac2-4597-b976-785b4e60ecf6", "symbol": "1D1", "name": "UnUsUaL Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.747, "architecture_energy": 18.868, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 75.889, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.75, "rotation_up": 29.61, "upward_expansion": 21.01, "deceleration": 42.91, "rotation_down": 24.57, "downward_expansion": 55.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.023733, 0.023364, 0.023824, 0.024503 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.024, "trend_reference": 0.025833, "distance_from_trend": -0.070968, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.107205, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.77613, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -50.841469, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.172414, "excess_performance": -0.327249, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.070968, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.23419, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.77613, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009074, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.508415, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058476, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.172414, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.06241, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27522261, "relative_activity": 6.195675, "balance": 0.06241, "dry_up": 1.688946, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070513, "annualized_volatility": 0.478019, "from_high_reference": -0.747368, "from_low_reference": 0.142857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.025833, "fair_value_reference": 0.107205, "structural_low": 0.021, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": -0.03293, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.65, "median_excess_return": -0.060063, "regime_survival": 0.95, "best_return": 0.186992, "worst_return": -0.253012, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.110871, "positive_rate": 0.083333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.168425, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.096774, "worst_return": -0.454545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.298464, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.331319, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.048387, "worst_return": -0.560606, "sufficient": true }, { 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-01-27", "end": "2023-02-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.014286, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-03-03", "end": "2023-04-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.051471, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-04-28", "end": "2023-06-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.098765, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-06-30", "end": "2023-07-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.043011, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-07-21", "end": "2023-09-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.005102, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-09-29", "end": 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"direction": -65.487333, "energy": 47.857726, "activity_lines": [ 0.022667, 0.022855, 0.023986, 0.024953 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.023, "volume": 260000, "typical_volume": 3454700.0, "trend": 0.0263, "fair_value": 0.109417, "relative_strength": -54.486402, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.633138, "energy": 44.167992, "activity_lines": [ 0.022733, 0.022836, 0.023833, 0.02471 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.025, "volume": 1618900, "typical_volume": 3212015.0, "trend": 0.0259, "fair_value": 0.108321, "relative_strength": -49.523667, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.930691, "energy": 25.168495, "activity_lines": [ 0.023467, 0.0232, 0.023876, 0.024626 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.024, "volume": 27522261, "typical_volume": 4442173.05, "trend": 0.025833, "fair_value": 0.107205, "relative_strength": -50.841469, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.747412, "energy": 18.868463, "activity_lines": [ 0.023733, 0.023364, 0.023824, 0.024503 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }