{ "ticker": { "uuid": "63a7d891-5101-426e-8b0e-311190b07eaa", "symbol": "ADVANIHOTR", "name": "Advani Hotels & Resorts (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.056, "architecture_energy": 54.846, "architecture_maturity": 5.994, "architecture_confidence": 84.508, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.01, "rotation_up": 12.69, "upward_expansion": 12.72, "deceleration": 36.31, "rotation_down": 66.27, "downward_expansion": 83.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.004, 51.784364, 52.257322, 52.324381 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 50.189999, "trend_reference": 52.82716, "distance_from_trend": -0.049921, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 58.740664, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.145566, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.164418, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.090415, "excess_performance": -0.046706, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.049921, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019157, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.145566, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08709, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.071644, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07486, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.090415, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.341956, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 224483, "relative_activity": 1.931786, "balance": 0.341956, "dry_up": 1.129535, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044752, "annualized_volatility": 0.197334, "from_high_reference": -0.241914, "from_low_reference": 0.083955 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 52.82716, "fair_value_reference": 58.740664, "structural_low": 46.302669, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.022409, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.012257, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.242353, "worst_return": -0.073199, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.031638, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.022657, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.298824, "worst_return": -0.081938, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.013955, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.074733, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.231691, "worst_return": -0.13219, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -5.007576, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.250578, "energy": 41.308798, "activity_lines": [ 51.656667, 52.205637, 52.450743, 52.50217 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.189999, "volume": 224483, "typical_volume": 116204.9, "trend": 52.82716, "fair_value": 58.740664, "relative_strength": -7.164418, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.055578, "energy": 54.845699, "activity_lines": [ 51.004, 51.784364, 52.257322, 52.324381 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }