{ "ticker": { "uuid": "63ac5357-f109-42b8-b063-a4b6703d31e7", "symbol": "KPITTECH", "name": "KPIT Technologies Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.888, "architecture_energy": 57.561, "architecture_maturity": 28.568, "architecture_confidence": 78.074, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.93, "rotation_up": 15.92, "upward_expansion": 9.06, "deceleration": 52.45, "rotation_down": 63.52, "downward_expansion": 80.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 597.503349, 616.702735, 664.675003, 689.054259 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 629.900024, "trend_reference": 751.441648, "distance_from_trend": -0.161745, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1260.088618, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.500115, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.109097, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.342759, "excess_performance": -0.29905, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.161745, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.196481, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.500115, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064418, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.321091, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01296, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.342759, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.659772, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14382601, "relative_activity": 1.216793, "balance": 4.659772, "dry_up": 2.35945, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087462, "annualized_volatility": 0.519565, "from_high_reference": -0.524597, "from_low_reference": 0.160037 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 751.441648, "fair_value_reference": 1260.088618, "structural_low": 543.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.012846, "positive_rate": 0.631579, "directional_follow_through": 0.368421, "median_excess_return": 0.00491, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.201197, "worst_return": -0.258224, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.058042, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.042427, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.226747, "worst_return": -0.293354, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.020916, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.046592, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.504736, "worst_return": -0.287994, "sufficient": 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"trend": 751.441648, "fair_value": 1260.088618, "relative_strength": -32.109097, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.887697, "energy": 57.560579, "activity_lines": [ 597.503349, 616.702735, 664.675003, 689.054259 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }