{ "ticker": { "uuid": "63b27d31-3cc3-4d31-abed-fbd85454fae1", "symbol": "EAIN34", "name": "Electronic Arts Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 87.522, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -36.539, "architecture_energy": 53.763, "architecture_maturity": 49.906, "architecture_confidence": 71.525, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.77, "rotation_up": 24.31, "upward_expansion": 13.94, "deceleration": 58.17, "rotation_down": 55.09, "downward_expansion": 84.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 189.290356, 202.505592, 313.442599, 371.010944 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 532.780029, "trend_reference": 435.341104, "distance_from_trend": 0.223822, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 408.98658, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.302683, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.876171, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.018143, "excess_performance": 0.075192, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.223822, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.17635, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.302683, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098225, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.078762, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.235974, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.018143, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 14.176471, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2, "relative_activity": 0.009704, "balance": 14.176471, "dry_up": 0.252305, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.160242, "annualized_volatility": 6.806617, "from_high_reference": -0.06302, "from_low_reference": 29.496688 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 435.341104, "fair_value_reference": 408.98658, "structural_low": 17.470095, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.006294, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.065181, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.038222, "worst_return": -0.112513, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.000563, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.131043, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.097839, "worst_return": -0.100697, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.030037, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.060815, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.24459, "worst_return": -0.253405, "sufficient": true }, { 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"gate": "down", "direction": -93.264866, "energy": 97.624749, "activity_lines": [ 219.265778, 342.436148, 420.33902, 452.841996 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.470095, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 434.0, "trend": 472.686281, "fair_value": 411.208922, "relative_strength": -96.632465, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -93.059319, "energy": 97.570204, "activity_lines": [ 118.855701, 270.907762, 377.757521, 422.30447 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.557798, "volume": 6, "typical_volume": 317.35, "trend": 454.330722, "fair_value": 409.249064, "relative_strength": -96.553569, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.184748, "energy": 93.764628, "activity_lines": [ 51.625518, 208.009379, 337.561669, 392.941342 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.592879, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 206.5, "trend": 435.963351, "fair_value": 407.471877, "relative_strength": -96.552729, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.999809, "energy": 88.099582, "activity_lines": [ 17.55184, 154.018721, 299.758597, 364.764707 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 532.780029, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 206.1, "trend": 435.341104, "fair_value": 408.98658, "relative_strength": 7.876171, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.539211, "energy": 53.763086, "activity_lines": [ 189.290356, 202.505592, 313.442599, 371.010944 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }