{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "63b57d9f-2b29-4301-92cb-58829272b0ce",
    "symbol": "8359",
    "name": "Cashbox Partyworld Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 58.529,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -36.716,
    "architecture_energy": 53.601,
    "architecture_maturity": 4.874,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.224,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.31,
        "rotation_up": 20.93,
        "upward_expansion": 21.94,
        "deceleration": 40.71,
        "rotation_down": 63.28,
        "downward_expansion": 58.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        58.86,
        59.755596,
        60.281135,
        60.630064
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 58.200001,
    "trend_reference": 60.369022,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.035929,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 72.888032,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.201515,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -34.204093,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.027113,
    "excess_performance": -0.414259,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035929,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001101,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.201515,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006363,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.342041,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05454,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027113,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.065372,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 204785,
      "relative_activity": 0.88903,
      "balance": 1.065372,
      "dry_up": 0.855693,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035857,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.273149,
      "from_high_reference": -0.214938,
      "from_low_reference": 0.070782
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 60.369022,
      "fair_value_reference": 72.888032,
      "structural_low": 54.352779,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.017566,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008105,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.023186,
        "worst_return": -0.018279,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.006048,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.071368,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.04266,
        "worst_return": -0.053763,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.023186,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.092971,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.124216,
        "worst_return": -0.031183,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.122202,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.196138,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.299366,
        "worst_return": -0.054963,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.028585,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.015054,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.005519,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.00442,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019912,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002353,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.050045,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.058465,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.178525,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.056376,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.062049,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.037461,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-14",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
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        "typical_volume": 756293.5,
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 61.400002,
        "volume": 118996,
        "typical_volume": 267212.0,
        "trend": 60.368445,
        "fair_value": 73.325529,
        "relative_strength": -30.959968,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 19.447678,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.283574,
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          61.024274
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 58.700001,
        "volume": 268036,
        "typical_volume": 266529.45,
        "trend": 60.383941,
        "fair_value": 73.188253,
        "relative_strength": -31.993536,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -3.09026,
        "energy": 6.792477,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.413334,
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          60.916632
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 58.099998,
        "volume": 196607,
        "typical_volume": 248725.55,
        "trend": 60.357868,
        "fair_value": 73.047648,
        "relative_strength": -33.153933,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.834178,
        "energy": 43.094742,
        "activity_lines": [
          59.46,
          60.148417,
          60.582007,
          60.769281
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 58.200001,
        "volume": 204785,
        "typical_volume": 230346.55,
        "trend": 60.369022,
        "fair_value": 72.888032,
        "relative_strength": -34.204093,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.716483,
        "energy": 53.600878,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.86,
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          60.630064
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}