{ "ticker": { "uuid": "63bac274-54be-43e6-b7de-b37f7e851653", "symbol": "AUTO", "name": "AutoStore Holdings Ltd.", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.559, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.429, "architecture_energy": 16.647, "architecture_maturity": 19.131, "architecture_confidence": 88.477, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.98, "rotation_up": 32.72, "upward_expansion": 54.84, "deceleration": 80.81, "rotation_down": 30.87, "downward_expansion": 23.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.882, 11.848182, 11.993476, 11.770538 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 12.56, "trend_reference": 11.639167, "distance_from_trend": 0.079115, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.158808, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.032996, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.586371, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.11943, "excess_performance": -0.005564, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.079115, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026231, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.032996, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014878, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.025864, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.21208, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.11943, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.535942, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15181858, "relative_activity": 0.767868, "balance": 1.535942, "dry_up": 0.73005, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082251, "annualized_volatility": 0.487232, "from_high_reference": -0.096403, "from_low_reference": 0.895849 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.639167, "fair_value_reference": 12.158808, "structural_low": 9.03, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.051118, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.049418, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.229241, "worst_return": -0.307116, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.124778, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.172309, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.481902, "worst_return": -0.49241, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.411323, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.490982, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.592619, "worst_return": -0.567502, "sufficient": false }, { 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.195906, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.054915, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.291696, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.064782, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.295407, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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12.323213, "activity_lines": [ 11.886667, 12.155455, 11.917667, 11.744344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.16, "volume": 12682579, "typical_volume": 22368222.3, "trend": 11.632167, "fair_value": 12.396372, "relative_strength": -4.361072, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.79618, "energy": 13.911368, "activity_lines": [ 11.634667, 11.926, 11.887357, 11.715495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.1, "volume": 13312269, "typical_volume": 21465309.3, "trend": 11.6365, "fair_value": 12.300731, "relative_strength": -7.470628, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.164635, "energy": 21.257954, "activity_lines": [ 11.376, 11.725818, 11.850095, 11.681161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.1, "volume": 16559907, "typical_volume": 20582016.25, "trend": 11.638167, "fair_value": 12.219449, "relative_strength": -0.193297, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.065544, "energy": 13.313696, "activity_lines": [ 11.557333, 11.736182, 11.904738, 11.711065 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.56, "volume": 15181858, "typical_volume": 19771454.0, "trend": 11.639167, "fair_value": 12.158808, "relative_strength": 2.586371, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.428799, "energy": 16.647386, "activity_lines": [ 11.882, 11.848182, 11.993476, 11.770538 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }