{ "ticker": { "uuid": "63bd67d3-edf9-4334-bdf8-c6c6839b926d", "symbol": "USSE", "name": "SEGALL BRYANT & HAMILL TRUST SELECT EQUITY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.098, "architecture_energy": 51.814, "architecture_maturity": 44.056, "architecture_confidence": 68.662, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.53, "rotation_up": 50.38, "upward_expansion": 78.17, "deceleration": 70.12, "rotation_down": 26.42, "downward_expansion": 7.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.138667, 39.873035, 39.303743, 38.24484 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 41.48, "trend_reference": 36.92468, "distance_from_trend": 0.123368, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.365197, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.322485, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.934401, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.1947, "excess_performance": 0.069076, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.123368, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061408, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.322485, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080793, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.049344, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035439, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.1947, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.957783, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 175689, "relative_activity": 1.319443, "balance": 1.957783, "dry_up": 1.2197, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034718, "annualized_volatility": 0.156098, "from_high_reference": -0.005753, "from_low_reference": 0.31599 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.92468, "fair_value_reference": 31.365197, "structural_low": 31.92, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.120972, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.022135, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.120972, "worst_return": 0.120972, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.177857, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.039332, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.177857, "worst_return": 0.177857, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"typical_volume": 133153.9, "trend": 36.92468, "fair_value": 31.365197, "relative_strength": 4.934401, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.098115, "energy": 51.814468, "activity_lines": [ 40.138667, 39.873035, 39.303743, 38.24484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }