{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "64076905-427a-49f6-a731-6501281e2f41",
    "symbol": "295020",
    "name": "KB Asset Management -KB KBTAR KTB 10Y Futures Inverse ETF",
    "exchange": "KSC",
    "country": "KR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^KS11",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 83.115,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 61.274,
    "architecture_energy": 50.65,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.903,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.898,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.07,
        "rotation_up": 57.2,
        "upward_expansion": 80.61,
        "deceleration": 60.29,
        "rotation_down": 21.83,
        "downward_expansion": 7.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 59975.0,
    "trend_reference": 58855.5,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.019021,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 55057.464018,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.089316,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -17.07774,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.033161,
    "excess_performance": -0.196668,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019021,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021598,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089316,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012223,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.170777,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.273844,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033161,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.478356,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 76,
      "relative_activity": 0.000312,
      "balance": 2.478356,
      "dry_up": 1.779916,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.011646,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.070279,
      "from_high_reference": -0.021455,
      "from_low_reference": 0.123223
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 58855.5,
      "fair_value_reference": 55057.464018,
      "structural_low": 56765.0,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": 0.003946,
        "positive_rate": 0.645161,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.645161,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019545,
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        "best_return": 0.044752,
        "worst_return": -0.045748,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.039266,
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.062327,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 60315.0,
        "volume": 56068,
        "typical_volume": 243318.45,
        "trend": 58746.333333,
        "fair_value": 55025.229793,
        "relative_strength": -21.790971,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 59975.0,
        "volume": 76,
        "typical_volume": 243317.35,
        "trend": 58855.5,
        "fair_value": 55057.464018,
        "relative_strength": -17.07774,
        "stage": 3,
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}