{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "64159420-9676-4cf6-8731-e33b4c32e5e6",
    "symbol": "DJE",
    "name": "Amundi Dow Jones Industrial Average UCITS ETF Dist",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.22,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.995,
    "architecture_energy": 67.547,
    "architecture_maturity": 78.578,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.243,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.6,
        "rotation_up": 54.88,
        "upward_expansion": 83.0,
        "deceleration": 71.46,
        "rotation_down": 27.96,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 473.450012,
    "trend_reference": 434.491334,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.089665,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 383.625367,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.234147,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.591974,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.114551,
    "excess_performance": -0.056341,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089665,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038134,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.234147,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085556,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03592,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031071,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114551,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.872128,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3093,
      "relative_activity": 1.532098,
      "balance": 0.872128,
      "dry_up": 1.672652,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019671,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.097199,
      "from_high_reference": -0.01457,
      "from_low_reference": 0.24561
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 434.491334,
      "fair_value_reference": 383.625367,
      "structural_low": 396.980011,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": 0.005832,
        "positive_rate": 0.547619,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.547619,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001252,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
        "best_return": 0.051287,
        "worst_return": -0.076809,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
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        "worst_return": -0.105065,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.122668,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.002084,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 2818.05,
        "trend": 413.303872,
        "fair_value": 369.488682,
        "relative_strength": -4.217746,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 2713.75,
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        "fair_value": 370.325206,
        "relative_strength": -4.707953,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 2670.05,
        "trend": 415.145463,
        "fair_value": 371.150505,
        "relative_strength": -6.699065,
        "stage": 3,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 2689.4,
        "trend": 416.326283,
        "fair_value": 371.987685,
        "relative_strength": -5.030437,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 2730.45,
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        "relative_strength": -3.470148,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 2330,
        "typical_volume": 2603.8,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 5858,
        "typical_volume": 2789.65,
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        "fair_value": 374.692334,
        "relative_strength": -2.185505,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 449.079987,
        "volume": 583,
        "typical_volume": 2537.4,
        "trend": 421.393127,
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        "relative_strength": -5.487465,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.131704,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -6.41939,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 424.753187,
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        "relative_strength": -1.982709,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.07614,
        "energy": 94.914943,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 389,
        "typical_volume": 2124.45,
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        "fair_value": 378.643197,
        "relative_strength": -3.590289,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.952366,
        "energy": 95.408092,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 1821,
        "typical_volume": 2096.65,
        "trend": 428.177666,
        "fair_value": 379.713755,
        "relative_strength": -3.388645,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.828821,
        "energy": 91.963318,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 464.700012,
        "volume": 3848,
        "typical_volume": 2110.1,
        "trend": 429.824334,
        "fair_value": 380.705011,
        "relative_strength": -2.309944,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.370764,
        "energy": 88.032587,
        "activity_lines": [
          464.953335,
          459.139637,
          445.786382,
          437.944603
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 463.5,
        "volume": 1235,
        "typical_volume": 1888.25,
        "trend": 431.452667,
        "fair_value": 381.65983,
        "relative_strength": -2.320687,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.772671,
        "energy": 80.728013,
        "activity_lines": [
          464.963334,
          460.984546,
          448.564335,
          440.117227
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 460.299988,
        "volume": 5331,
        "typical_volume": 2021.4,
        "trend": 432.995334,
        "fair_value": 382.602349,
        "relative_strength": -3.555793,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.98963,
        "energy": 63.525157,
        "activity_lines": [
          463.379997,
          461.672907,
          450.823381,
          441.978344
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 473.450012,
        "volume": 3093,
        "typical_volume": 2018.8,
        "trend": 434.491334,
        "fair_value": 383.625367,
        "relative_strength": -3.591974,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.9953,
        "energy": 67.546822,
        "activity_lines": [
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          444.588324
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}