{ "ticker": { "uuid": "642a9b3e-0c47-417e-ab7e-f27bb92b6686", "symbol": "ASTC", "name": "Astrotech Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 6.32, "architecture_energy": 11.583, "architecture_maturity": 43.0, "architecture_confidence": 69.219, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.23, "rotation_up": 19.08, "upward_expansion": 40.22, "deceleration": 82.63, "rotation_down": 38.3, "downward_expansion": 36.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.792, 9.398, 11.41519, 9.81372 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.88, "trend_reference": 7.698333, "distance_from_trend": 0.153496, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.309467, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.214863, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 31.491315, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.911475, "excess_performance": 1.724022, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.153496, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.652121, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.214863, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.828366, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.314913, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.768732, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.911475, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.386623, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4627083, "relative_activity": 0.241216, "balance": 6.386623, "dry_up": 0.073452, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 1.291715, "annualized_volatility": 4.648965, "from_high_reference": -0.871024, "from_low_reference": 3.637076 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.698333, "fair_value_reference": 7.309467, "structural_low": 1.915, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.374163, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.339627, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.374163, "worst_return": -0.374163, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"New", "return": 0.030264, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-04-05", "end": "2024-04-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.020262, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-05-03", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.018754, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-07-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.047674, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-07-26", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.173678, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-09-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.283348, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-20", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 9.26, "volume": 467130, "typical_volume": 18906133.15, "trend": 7.166, "fair_value": 7.431133, "relative_strength": 38.000277, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.375016, "energy": 23.264666, "activity_lines": [ 10.822667, 15.493273, 12.117619, 9.752215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.73, "volume": 349166, "typical_volume": 18922632.15, "trend": 7.302333, "fair_value": 7.397672, "relative_strength": 19.882912, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.471961, "energy": 20.629903, "activity_lines": [ 9.287333, 14.124727, 11.989619, 9.788602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.2, "volume": 342982, "typical_volume": 18938256.9, "trend": 7.416, "fair_value": 7.362447, "relative_strength": 13.333988, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.892979, "energy": 18.02928, "activity_lines": [ 8.327333, 12.569636, 11.787714, 9.782 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.54, "volume": 316664, "typical_volume": 18952290.2, "trend": 7.512333, "fair_value": 7.327319, "relative_strength": 2.385297, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.656615, "energy": 12.377518, "activity_lines": [ 7.577333, 10.809818, 11.500143, 9.725484 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.88, "volume": 4627083, "typical_volume": 19182350.85, "trend": 7.698333, "fair_value": 7.309467, "relative_strength": 31.491315, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.319551, "energy": 11.582934, "activity_lines": [ 7.792, 9.398, 11.41519, 9.81372 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }