{ "ticker": { "uuid": "644e2661-921e-4dce-b632-892b1b75e61d", "symbol": "BSXC", "name": "Boston Scientific Corporation", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.654, "architecture_energy": 55.465, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 68.435, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.65, "rotation_up": 27.94, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 66.98, "rotation_down": 46.33, "downward_expansion": 72.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.367667, 39.988909, 42.245119, 46.210161 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 43.005001, "trend_reference": 52.748833, "distance_from_trend": -0.184721, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 70.949519, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.393865, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -49.098465, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.344436, "excess_performance": -0.518683, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.184721, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.216735, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.393865, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05116, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.490985, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013711, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.344436, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.67653, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3385, "relative_activity": 1.38183, "balance": 0.67653, "dry_up": 1.837405, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063409, "annualized_volatility": 0.395911, "from_high_reference": -0.536584, "from_low_reference": 0.154032 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 52.748833, "fair_value_reference": 70.949519, "structural_low": 37.264999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.056604, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.110736, "regime_survival": 0.923077, "best_return": 0.073946, "worst_return": -0.171875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.147994, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.21394, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.080197, "worst_return": -0.343522, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.065895, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.195787, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.154941, "worst_return": -0.28673, "sufficient": false }, { 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"regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2023-08-25", "end": "2023-09-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.086277, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-09-15", "end": "2023-10-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.042987, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-10-27", "end": "2023-12-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.092608, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-12-08", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.360078, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.096296, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": 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"typical_volume": 2158.45, "trend": 55.4955, "fair_value": 71.01766, "relative_strength": -54.065698, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.501512, "energy": 66.347294, "activity_lines": [ 39.074667, 39.760455, 43.340953, 47.978602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.195, "volume": 5542, "typical_volume": 2348.45, "trend": 54.115333, "fair_value": 70.971923, "relative_strength": -53.085673, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.987011, "energy": 65.48065, "activity_lines": [ 39.075333, 39.432909, 42.562072, 46.926957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 43.005001, "volume": 3385, "typical_volume": 2449.65, "trend": 52.748833, "fair_value": 70.949519, "relative_strength": -49.098465, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.653696, "energy": 55.465341, "activity_lines": [ 40.367667, 39.988909, 42.245119, 46.210161 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }