{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "645e266e-181c-4365-b12b-73c797f05a5f",
    "symbol": "SUAU",
    "name": "iShares MSCI USA SRI UCITS ETF USD (Acc)",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 64.633,
    "architecture_energy": 52.323,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.3,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.981,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.67,
        "rotation_up": 43.3,
        "upward_expansion": 72.5,
        "deceleration": 85.5,
        "rotation_down": 27.97,
        "downward_expansion": 22.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        17.744933,
        17.812655,
        17.512035,
        17.061475
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 18.042,
    "trend_reference": 16.53327,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.091254,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 14.511338,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.243304,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.311865,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.160451,
    "excess_performance": 0.043789,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091254,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055258,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.243304,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039436,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013119,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035482,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.160451,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.853564,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 73020,
      "relative_activity": 1.699467,
      "balance": 4.853564,
      "dry_up": 0.688974,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018504,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.117686,
      "from_high_reference": -0.010204,
      "from_low_reference": 0.244362
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 16.53327,
      "fair_value_reference": 14.511338,
      "structural_low": 14.7885,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.003798,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001529,
        "regime_survival": 0.272727,
        "best_return": 0.066285,
        "worst_return": -0.103065,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.033044,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010646,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.158563,
        "worst_return": -0.2134,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.099885,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004947,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.141035,
        "worst_return": -0.09364,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.09222,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011467,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.129255,
        "worst_return": 0.055185,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.009935,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016678,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.030715,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.086984,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.147706,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.024829,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007562,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.01152,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008676,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.016768,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.050358,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.077205,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.06567,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 30995.95,
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 15.412833,
        "fair_value": 13.994427,
        "relative_strength": 2.102474,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 5.419722,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.003375,
        "energy": 92.77119,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 38656.75,
        "trend": 16.137217,
        "fair_value": 14.331143,
        "relative_strength": 4.678153,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 35215,
        "typical_volume": 38842.0,
        "trend": 16.230973,
        "fair_value": 14.370731,
        "relative_strength": 4.12014,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.944057,
        "energy": 88.369024,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 17.695999,
        "volume": 15748,
        "typical_volume": 39483.95,
        "trend": 16.311133,
        "fair_value": 14.405904,
        "relative_strength": 1.101511,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.122794,
        "energy": 67.745742,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.9456,
          17.819309,
          17.252066,
          16.809931
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 17.573999,
        "volume": 11103,
        "typical_volume": 39038.5,
        "trend": 16.3864,
        "fair_value": 14.439531,
        "relative_strength": 0.572683,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.72311,
        "energy": 64.768706,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.8112,
          17.804909,
          17.337217,
          16.891407
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 17.440001,
        "volume": 18540,
        "typical_volume": 39887.9,
        "trend": 16.459543,
        "fair_value": 14.473328,
        "relative_strength": -0.977304,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.881437,
        "energy": 50.707639,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.6608,
          17.756,
          17.400825,
          16.959381
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.042,
        "volume": 73020,
        "typical_volume": 42966.4,
        "trend": 16.53327,
        "fair_value": 14.511338,
        "relative_strength": 1.311865,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.6329,
        "energy": 52.323128,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.744933,
          17.812655,
          17.512035,
          17.061475
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}