{ "ticker": { "uuid": "64615cca-2c7e-4bf8-904b-dadcb65b38a1", "symbol": "5878", "name": "Taiming Assurance Broker Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 94.186, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.588, "architecture_energy": 53.342, "architecture_maturity": 36.546, "architecture_confidence": 91.41, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.1, "rotation_up": 19.06, "upward_expansion": 8.19, "deceleration": 55.12, "rotation_down": 63.49, "downward_expansion": 83.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.453334, 38.666364, 39.234876, 39.709528 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 38.5, "trend_reference": 40.306533, "distance_from_trend": -0.04482, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 42.295661, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.089741, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.251843, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.072066, "excess_performance": -0.513438, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.04482, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017291, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.089741, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038232, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.332518, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012203, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.072066, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.369086, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25010, "relative_activity": 0.499391, "balance": 0.369086, "dry_up": 0.569423, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021743, "annualized_volatility": 0.072978, "from_high_reference": -0.09167, "from_low_reference": 0.013158 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.306533, "fair_value_reference": 42.295661, "structural_low": 38.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.001095, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.028339, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.03494, "worst_return": -0.089912, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.013015, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.090679, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.007338, "worst_return": -0.045445, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.005873, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.168159, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.046122, "worst_return": -0.057868, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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-32.220742, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.93298, "energy": 57.401348, "activity_lines": [ 38.886666, 39.12961, 39.710951, 40.11769 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.400002, "volume": 44000, "typical_volume": 51731.7, "trend": 40.477726, "fair_value": 42.361172, "relative_strength": -31.112576, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.787652, "energy": 59.622157, "activity_lines": [ 38.696667, 38.935319, 39.540876, 39.978175 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.200001, "volume": 20000, "typical_volume": 50431.7, "trend": 40.386301, "fair_value": 42.327599, "relative_strength": -32.310837, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.366927, "energy": 60.156504, "activity_lines": [ 38.480001, 38.748182, 39.36552, 39.831225 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 38.5, "volume": 25010, "typical_volume": 50080.95, "trend": 40.306533, "fair_value": 42.295661, "relative_strength": -33.251843, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.588177, "energy": 53.341905, "activity_lines": [ 38.453334, 38.666364, 39.234876, 39.709528 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }