{ "ticker": { "uuid": "647e6b90-474f-4d31-8c38-eb746e500e35", "symbol": "WENG", "name": "WISDOMTREE ISSUER ICAV WT STRAT", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 54.925, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.299, "architecture_energy": 29.366, "architecture_maturity": 19.142, "architecture_confidence": 46.281, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.41, "rotation_up": 18.81, "upward_expansion": 14.4, "deceleration": 64.16, "rotation_down": 45.71, "downward_expansion": 64.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.1668, 14.139727, 14.440529, 14.477761 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 14.44, "trend_reference": 14.548167, "distance_from_trend": -0.007435, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.361161, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.168175, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.698538, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.02827, "excess_performance": -0.022965, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.007435, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035523, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.168175, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106962, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.006985, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.161999, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.02827, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.285742, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1645, "relative_activity": 0.571975, "balance": 2.285742, "dry_up": 0.252869, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032753, "annualized_volatility": 0.193615, "from_high_reference": -0.168011, "from_low_reference": 0.37132 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.548167, "fair_value_reference": 12.361161, "structural_low": 13.032, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.014234, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.021578, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 10.1562, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 10.36, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": 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null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 13.971, "volume": 996, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.84, "volume": 472, "typical_volume": 3388.2, "trend": 14.5083, "fair_value": 12.292055, "relative_strength": -1.627502, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -42.395563, "energy": 66.058232, "activity_lines": [ 13.934667, 14.282273, 14.529129, 14.540183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.037, "volume": 662, "typical_volume": 3091.2, "trend": 14.526167, "fair_value": 12.313598, "relative_strength": -1.582965, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.121442, "energy": 68.806261, "activity_lines": [ 13.941467, 14.184273, 14.481276, 14.509776 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.135, "volume": 130, "typical_volume": 2932.35, "trend": 14.545067, "fair_value": 12.33581, "relative_strength": -2.300522, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.235114, "energy": 47.847502, "activity_lines": [ 14.012867, 14.123164, 14.445786, 14.48454 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.44, "volume": 1645, "typical_volume": 2876.0, "trend": 14.548167, "fair_value": 12.361161, "relative_strength": -0.698538, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.299176, "energy": 29.366393, "activity_lines": [ 14.1668, 14.139727, 14.440529, 14.477761 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }